START YOUR OWN WINNING STREAK
Player Image
SportsBookLogo
Chevrons Texture
4:46 AM

NZ - Te Aroha - Race 8

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
14.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FLORENZA (1) has finished third on this track in both of her runs back from a spell, and finally gets a decent draw this time. She is close to her peak fitness, and she should go close to taking this out. BETHANY DEE (15) was very unlucky when finishing eighth at Avondale last time out over 6f. The extra 1f is the key here. Hard to beat. LA CADIERE (9) is making progress in her initial prep and is coping with her races being nicely spaced out. She was runner-up at New Plymouth 3 weeks ago when hanging in the run home, and with a shower or two of rain, she will be hard to hold out. WEE NESSY (14) put in a nice run at Ellerslie on debut, and then was a beaten favourite at Avondale last time out when racing greenly in tight quarters late in the run home. She will be spot-on third up and can set the record straight here. Follow your money. TRYPTIC (11) won a trial before finishing second as the favourite on debut at Pukekohe 4 weeks ago. Craig Grylls sticks with her, and so do we.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Florenza silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 13 at this track on October 22 over 5 ¾f, slow going 2.75 len behind Waiata carrying 122lbs at $3. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at this track on November 11 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Ploy with 125lbs at $5.20. Hard to beat.

1st Pick
1

Florenza

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Patsy Riley

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Patsy Riley

94---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 13 at this track on October 22 over 5 ¾f, slow going 2.75 len behind Waiata carrying 122lbs at $3. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at this track on November 11 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Ploy with 125lbs at $5.20. Hard to beat.

15
Bethany Dee silk

Dual acceptor. Third race start. First start 7th of 13 at Ruakaka 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 6f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Iridescent with 125lbs at $48.50. Returned from break from last on the turn 8th of 11 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Yousito carrying 127lbs at $29.20. Could find longer journey helps and should run well.

2nd Pick
15

Bethany Dee

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: David Greene

J: Non Runner

T: David Greene

70---1%1000/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Third race start. First start 7th of 13 at Ruakaka 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 6f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Iridescent with 125lbs at $48.50. Returned from break from last on the turn 8th of 11 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Yousito carrying 127lbs at $29.20. Could find longer journey helps and should run well.

9
La Cadiere silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 5 over 7f, 3.5 len behind The Dirty Dee carrying 123lbs at $4.10. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 13 at this track on October 22 over 7f, slow going 0.8 len behind Tellum with 119lbs at $9.20. Should be right in the finish.

3rd Pick
9

La Cadiere

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote

J: Samantha Collett

T: Ben & Ryan Foote

92---10%9/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 5 over 7f, 3.5 len behind The Dirty Dee carrying 123lbs at $4.10. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 13 at this track on October 22 over 7f, slow going 0.8 len behind Tellum with 119lbs at $9.20. Should be right in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.