NZ - Te Aroha - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

15.4f

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 10

23.2K

VIEW

Verdict

WENEEDASHOCK (9) bolted in when making his hurdle debut here in June, and he has since finished a bold third on the flat at Awapuni-synthetic. He has no trouble with a heavy track, and is the one to beat again. THE BELVOIR (8) has really improved his jumping this prep, and his form has been rock solid, including a big win in his penultimate start. He is expected to be right in the finish again. ROC UP RALPH (1) has only missed a cheque once in 5 starts over hurdles, including 2 wins. He gets through bad ground with no problem, and he is well worth including in all top 4 combos. LEITRIM LAD (6) ran a cheeky race on the flat at Ruakaka 8 days ago, and even though he is better known over the steeples, he is definitely good enough to win this race. TUTIN CANS (10) chanced some jumps at Trentham last start, and was pulled up on the journey. His win there before that was very good, and he can bounce straight back into form in this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Racing well. Last start rolled along in front setting the pace and then edged out finished third of 9 starters at Awapuni Synthetic on July 17 over 1 5/16m, 1.1 len behind Subtle Image with 121lbs at $3.80. The run to post a big 12 len win. This track on June 21 over 1 ¹5/16m in the wet defeating Billy with 148lbs at $3.40 in a jumps. Fought on last time. On top for us in this. 1st Pick 9 Weneedashock Jockey: Shaun Fannin Trainer: Shaun Fannin & Hazel Fannin J: Shaun Fannin T: Shaun Fannin & Hazel Fannin	147	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Racing well. Last start rolled along in front setting the pace and then edged out finished third of 9 starters at Awapuni Synthetic on July 17 over 1 5/16m, 1.1 len behind Subtle Image with 121lbs at $3.80. The run to post a big 12 len win. This track on June 21 over 1 ¹5/16m in the wet defeating Billy with 148lbs at $3.40 in a jumps. Fought on last time. On top for us in this.
8	Recent form impressive for this race. Last start finished third of 11 starters at this track on July 5 over 1 ¹5/16m, on heavy track, 3 len behind My Maebelline Girl carrying 149lbs at $7.90. Race to post a big 8 len win. Te Rapa on June 13 over 1 ¾m slow track defeating Tycoon Warrior with 146lbs at $6.90 in a jumps. Capable of better showing. Can return to winning form. 2nd Pick 8 The Belvoir Jockey: Mr Ashley Dascombe Trainer: Barry Beatson J: Mr Ashley Dascombe T: Barry Beatson	58	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Recent form impressive for this race. Last start finished third of 11 starters at this track on July 5 over 1 ¹5/16m, on heavy track, 3 len behind My Maebelline Girl carrying 149lbs at $7.90. Race to post a big 8 len win. Te Rapa on June 13 over 1 ¾m slow track defeating Tycoon Warrior with 146lbs at $6.90 in a jumps. Capable of better showing. Can return to winning form.
1	Last run finished second in a small field at Trentham on July 2 over 2m, on a wet track, 0.6 len behind Billy Boy with 143lbs at $4.10. The run before finished sixth of 8 runners at Te Rapa on June 13 over 2m, on slow going 9 len behind Pacheco carrying 143lbs at $6.60. Continues to make headway. Recent form suggests a big run is on the cards. 3rd Pick 1 Roc Up Ralph Jockey: Hamish Mc Neill Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Hamish Mc Neill T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	71	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last run finished second in a small field at Trentham on July 2 over 2m, on a wet track, 0.6 len behind Billy Boy with 143lbs at $4.10. The run before finished sixth of 8 runners at Te Rapa on June 13 over 2m, on slow going 9 len behind Pacheco carrying 143lbs at $6.60. Continues to make headway. Recent form suggests a big run is on the cards.

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