NZ - Te Aroha - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

14.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

BERRETTINI (9) had a tough trip on a heavy track at Pukekohe 4 weeks ago and did not finish his race off as expected. He will be better for it, and with 10lbs less to carry, he will go close from his good draw to winning this. WE FOUND LOVE (5) tried hard fresh up when finishing runner-up by a nose at Avondale nearly 3 weeks ago. Dropping back to 5f will do her no harm, and from another handy gate, she can go one better here. RIDGEVIEW VICKY (4) finished off her last start at Avondale very quickly when finishing second by half a length. Dropping down to 5f is a query, but she is trained here and is overdue for another win. NOTABADBERGS (2) ran out of condition late when racing at Avondale last start. That was his first run in well over a month, so he needed it, and he can figure in the top 3 this time. FAT ALBERT (8) was third here last time out, and will be peaking third up from a spell. This field lacks depth, and it is a good lead when Warren Kennedy sticks with him.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after five months 7th of 9 at Pukekohe on October 29 over 6f, on rain affected going, 9 len behind St Kilda carrying 129lbs at $7.20. Previously second-up 7th of 13 at Ellerslie on May 25 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Sir Fergus carrying 129lbs at $8.80. Fitter and rates highly. 1st Pick 9 Berrettini Jockey: Lynsey Satherley Trainer: Conor And Sarah Fahy J: Lynsey Satherley T: Conor And Sarah Fahy	67	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after five months 7th of 9 at Pukekohe on October 29 over 6f, on rain affected going, 9 len behind St Kilda carrying 129lbs at $7.20. Previously second-up 7th of 13 at Ellerslie on May 25 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Sir Fergus carrying 129lbs at $8.80. Fitter and rates highly.
5	Second-up. First-up after three months 2nd of 8 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, on a slow track, nose behind Goldiluxe carrying 128lbs at $3. Winning chance with that run under the belt. 2nd Pick 5 We Found Love Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Lauren Brennan J: Craig Grylls T: Lauren Brennan	74	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months 2nd of 8 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, on a slow track, nose behind Goldiluxe carrying 128lbs at $3. Winning chance with that run under the belt.
4	Most recently 3rd of 8 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, slow going 0.6 len behind Goldiluxe carrying 121lbs at $8.50. Tough to beat. 3rd Pick 4 Ridgeview Vicky Jockey: Joe Nishizuka Trainer: Gavin Opie J: Joe Nishizuka T: Gavin Opie	62	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 8 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, slow going 0.6 len behind Goldiluxe carrying 121lbs at $8.50. Tough to beat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.