NZ - Phar Lap - Race 9

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

10.9f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

10.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

SALACIA PRINCESS (6) is a limited performer who is meeting a very modest field, and if she can run up to her third place finish at Riccarton on the poly track there in her penultimate start, then she would go close to winning this. VALSTAR (1) has continued to improve with racing, and was only beaten by a nose at Wingatui last time out. She can go one better this time. POPSICLES (9) makes her South Island debut, after not showing much when trained in the North. She has the winkers on for the first time, and is worth including if there is any market support for her. DANIELLISH (8) has had many chances, but did place over this trip last season. She should be getting stronger all the time, and we like her as a value hope in this. GASGAL (5) has been racing a lot more consistently lately, and with the right run, she can figure in the finish again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	At the latest run 5th of 7 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on September 10 over 1m, 11 len behind Illusionist carrying 120lbs at $3.30. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 26 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Kessey carrying 119lbs at $7.40. Watch for sharp improvement. 1st Pick 6 Salacia Princess Jockey: Kendra Bakker Trainer: Meg Cunneen J: Kendra Bakker T: Meg Cunneen	103	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 7 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on September 10 over 1m, 11 len behind Illusionist carrying 120lbs at $3.30. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 26 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Kessey carrying 119lbs at $7.40. Watch for sharp improvement.
1	Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 7 at Wingatui on September 4 over 1m, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Fast Impact with 129lbs at $5.30. Before that 3rd of 9 at Oamaru on August 14 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Overheated with 129lbs at $17.10. Further improvement expected. 2nd Pick 1 Valstar Jockey: Brandon May Trainer: Lee Callaway J: Brandon May T: Lee Callaway	148	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 7 at Wingatui on September 4 over 1m, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Fast Impact with 129lbs at $5.30. Before that 3rd of 9 at Oamaru on August 14 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Overheated with 129lbs at $17.10. Further improvement expected.
9	Last start ran second last of 7 at Awapuni Synthetic on August 30 over 1 ¹/16m, 6 len behind Rosa with 118lbs at $23.30. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Hastings on August 22 over 1m, on a wet track, 3 len behind Keating carrying 118lbs at $47. Follow the market move. 3rd Pick 9 Popsicles Jockey: M Hudson Trainer: Kenny Moore J: M Hudson T: Kenny Moore	93	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Last start ran second last of 7 at Awapuni Synthetic on August 30 over 1 ¹/16m, 6 len behind Rosa with 118lbs at $23.30. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Hastings on August 22 over 1m, on a wet track, 3 len behind Keating carrying 118lbs at $47. Follow the market move.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.