NZ - Taupo - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

10.4K

VIEW

Verdict

JUDY'S SMARTIES (7) sat behind the leaders on the outer and let go well to win a 5f trail in September then 3 back on rails from the one gate was blocked for a run in a good field at Matamata. Should have run at least 3rd last time. Top show here. KRYPTON (6) has placed in both trials this prep, the latest a stylish 3rd from well back on the turn. Ready for a big debut. FACILITATE (1) led and fought well for a close 2nd over 6f 2 starts back then up to 7 ½f but caught wide on the speed and faded September 13. Vet issue no help last time. Forgive. IN HARMONY (9) made ground from last when 1st-up at 5 ¼f and ran on well again for 3L 6th behind Admiral Vos and Purple Strike over 6f last time. More ground ideal here. FINOZINO (10) led all the way to win her latest trial under a hold September 8 then sat outside leader and tried hard in 2L 5th to Petite Roacher on debut here. Improver.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Dual acceptor. Third race start. Promising on debut 3rd in a small field at Ellerslie on June 6 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind She's No Saint carrying 126lbs at $3.60. Went for a spell before returning 8th of 12 at Matamata on October 3 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Pilates carrying 123lbs at $4.60. Fitter and can break through. 1st Pick 7 Judy's Smarties Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	88	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third race start. Promising on debut 3rd in a small field at Ellerslie on June 6 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind She's No Saint carrying 126lbs at $3.60. Went for a spell before returning 8th of 12 at Matamata on October 3 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Pilates carrying 123lbs at $4.60. Fitter and can break through.
6	Gelding by Reliable Man facing the starter for the first time. Ran 3rd in a trial at Te Awamutu over 4 ¼f on October 22. Beautifully drawn and can make an immediate impact. 2nd Pick 6 Krypton Jockey: Jasmine Fawcett Trainer: Glen Old J: Jasmine Fawcett T: Glen Old	67	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Gelding by Reliable Man facing the starter for the first time. Ran 3rd in a trial at Te Awamutu over 4 ¼f on October 22. Beautifully drawn and can make an immediate impact.
1	Comes here off a 53-day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 9 at Te Rapa on September 13 over 7 ½f, in the wet, 8 len behind Scaredoheights carrying 129lbs at $6.50. The start before that 2nd of 7 at New Plymouth Raceway on August 15 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Heavy Is The Crown with 129lbs at $3.40. Capable of sharp improvement. 3rd Pick 1 Facilitate Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Karen Nicholson J: Jack Taplin T: Karen Nicholson	60	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Comes here off a 53-day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 9 at Te Rapa on September 13 over 7 ½f, in the wet, 8 len behind Scaredoheights carrying 129lbs at $6.50. The start before that 2nd of 7 at New Plymouth Raceway on August 15 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Heavy Is The Crown with 129lbs at $3.40. Capable of sharp improvement.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.