NZ - Taupo - Race 3

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

10.8K

VIEW

Verdict

CAPULET (2) was a beaten favourite on debut when failing to cop a heavy track at Matamata in June. Watch for a better effort on a firmer surface here. Follow the money leads. FLYHALF (6) was only caught late when finishing second by a nose at Arawa Park just over 3 weeks ago. She has a tougher gate this time, but can still figure in the top 3. SPARK (4) finished runner-up at Trentham when resuming there 2 weeks ago over 5f. She has plenty of ability and should be contesting some richer age-grade races later in the season. Hard to beat here. TULSA TURNAROUND (13) makes her debut from the coveted pole position. If she is not too green, then she can figure in the top 3. Check the market moves. CHEKHOV (3) makes his debut from a handy gate, and his stable is in a rich vein of form. Watch for him late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 12 at Otaki on November 30 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Hoorah Henry with 121lbs at $2.40. Before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Arawa Park on November 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind To The Max carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Should run well again. 1st Pick 5 Too Darn Sweet Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Sam Mynott J: Non Runner T: Sam Mynott	102	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 12 at Otaki on November 30 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Hoorah Henry with 121lbs at $2.40. Before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Arawa Park on November 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind To The Max carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Should run well again.
2	Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when second last of 8 at Matamata on June 15 over 6f, in the wet, 17 len behind Bella's Boy with 127lbs at $3.10. Can get off the mark. 2nd Pick 2 Capulet Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Matt Cartwright T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	56	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when second last of 8 at Matamata on June 15 over 6f, in the wet, 17 len behind Bella's Boy with 127lbs at $3.10. Can get off the mark.
12	Three-year-old filly lining up for debut. Readied for this with a commanding trial win, scoring by 3 lengths at Pukekohe over 5 ½f on December 9. Profiles strongly and has ability. Leading chance. 3rd Pick 12 Pilates Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	106	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Three-year-old filly lining up for debut. Readied for this with a commanding trial win, scoring by 3 lengths at Pukekohe over 5 ½f on December 9. Profiles strongly and has ability. Leading chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.