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39 Min Till Start

GB - Sandown Park - Race 5

Thoroughbred
6 Runners
7f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Firm (Good in places)
15.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ASCENDING STAR arguably did too much too soon with front-running tactics retained when third on handicap debut here last month but with the drop to 7f in his favour, Owen Burrows' 3-y-o is fancied to double his tally. His main danger may emerge from Thursday Girl, who took advantage of a good opportunity at Nottingham recently and should remain competitive back in a handicap. Desert Shadow rounds off the shortlist.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Ascending Star (Ire) silk

Third both starts last summer for James Owen. Showed much improved form on stable debut to open his account in 5-runner novice at Lingfield (7.6f, good) on return and matched rather than bettered that form when third of 10 on handicap bow here last month. Remains of interest dropped to 7f.

1st Pick
4

Ascending Star (Ire)

Jockey: Callum Rodriguez

Trainer: Owen Burrows

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Owen Burrows

100---19%9/2

Analysis

Third both starts last summer for James Owen. Showed much improved form on stable debut to open his account in 5-runner novice at Lingfield (7.6f, good) on return and matched rather than bettered that form when third of 10 on handicap bow here last month. Remains of interest dropped to 7f.

6
Thursday Girl silk

Took advantage of a good opportunity to break her run of seconds and get off the mark in 5-runner maiden at Nottingham (8.3f, good to firm) just under 3 weeks ago, doing do so in workmanlike fashion in a muddling affair. Should be competitive back in a handicap.

2nd Pick
6

Thursday Girl

Jockey: Kieran Shoemark

Trainer: Ed Walker

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Ed Walker

97---24%10/3

Analysis

Took advantage of a good opportunity to break her run of seconds and get off the mark in 5-runner maiden at Nottingham (8.3f, good to firm) just under 3 weeks ago, doing do so in workmanlike fashion in a muddling affair. Should be competitive back in a handicap.

1
Desert Shadow silk

Was well backed and having done nothing wrong for a change, readily won 4-runner event at Lingfield (7.6f, good to firm) just over 3 weeks ago, sealing it with a turn of foot. Nudged up 3 lb for that and could well kick on now up and running.

3rd Pick
1

Desert Shadow

Jockey: Oisin Murphy

Trainer: Saeed Bin Suroor

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Saeed Bin Suroor

98---27%11/4

Analysis

Was well backed and having done nothing wrong for a change, readily won 4-runner event at Lingfield (7.6f, good to firm) just over 3 weeks ago, sealing it with a turn of foot. Nudged up 3 lb for that and could well kick on now up and running.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.