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4:25 AM

AU - Strathalbyn - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6.7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 7
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HEALTHANDHAPPINESS (5) has been freshened since finishing sixth over 6f at Murray Bridge on debut, where he was warming late. Filled a placing in a recent trial here and a bold showing is expected. PAGANINI (2) bounced back to form last start but found one better over 7 ?f at Gawler, after leading them to the bend. Drops back in trip and gets a good chance to finally break through. MOUSSAKA (1) has had plenty of chances to break through and while he couldn't get the job done as favourite last time he should prove harder to stop now with added fitness. DARCI LANE (4) is a first starter by Darci Brahma for the Hickmott camp. Well educated with eight trials and keeps Todd Pannell. Should be competitive with the blinkers going straight on. SWEET KICK (8) is one to throw in the exotics.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Healthandhappiness silk

At debut, 6th of 11 at Murray Bridge 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Nordic Viking with 127lbs at $6.50. Likely improver who is expected to measure up.

1st Pick
5

Healthandhappiness

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Will Clarken

J: Non Runner

T: Will Clarken

108---23%7/2

Analysis

At debut, 6th of 11 at Murray Bridge 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Nordic Viking with 127lbs at $6.50. Likely improver who is expected to measure up.

2
Paganini silk

At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Gawler 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 27 over 7f, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Think Lu Bella carrying 128lbs at $7.50. Before that second last of 12 at Morphettville Parks 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Wine Snob with 128lbs at $31. Definite winning chance. Sure to go very well.

2nd Pick
2

Paganini

Jockey: Caitlin Tootell

Trainer: Jon O'connor

J: Caitlin Tootell

T: Jon O'connor

160---23%7/2

Analysis

At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Gawler 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 27 over 7f, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Think Lu Bella carrying 128lbs at $7.50. Before that second last of 12 at Morphettville Parks 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Wine Snob with 128lbs at $31. Definite winning chance. Sure to go very well.

1
Moussaka silk

Second-up. First-up after three months 6th of 11 at Gawler 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 27 over 6f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind No Mans Land carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Balaklava 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 3 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Synthesise carrying 128lbs at $19. Plenty of improvement to come.

3rd Pick
1

Moussaka

Jockey: Jason Holder

Trainer: Stuart Gower

J: Jason Holder

T: Stuart Gower

133---16%11/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after three months 6th of 11 at Gawler 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 27 over 6f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind No Mans Land carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Balaklava 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 3 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Synthesise carrying 128lbs at $19. Plenty of improvement to come.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.