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3:50 AM

AU - Strathalbyn - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6.7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 7
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HELL'S ON FIRE (10) progressed nicely last time out to finish just a head from the winner in second over a similar trip at Balaklava after leading them up to the corner. Peaking now and is the one to beat. VANINETTI (3) is going better than his form reads and building nicely. Nearing his top now and should be sharpened by the blinkers. KARMA QUEEN (8) failed to figure fresh when in the market but has since been sent back to trials where she's gone well. Draws the inside and keeps Milnes, worth following up. KAPPA (5) only warmed late on debut after settling a mile back. Watch for him launching late if the tempo is genuine. GOLDFIELDS GREY (1) has been okay in his two runs back without threatening. Expect Crowther to take him back from the wide draw and save him up for the final shot at them.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Hell's On Fire silk

Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Balaklava 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 20 over 7f, slow going head behind Green Summer carrying 123lbs at $8. The run before that 6th of 14 at Murray Bridge 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Camooweal Girl carrying 122lbs at $7. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
10

Hell's On Fire

Jockey: Teagan Voorham

Trainer: Michael Hickmott

J: Teagan Voorham

T: Michael Hickmott

196---40%6/4

Analysis

Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Balaklava 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 20 over 7f, slow going head behind Green Summer carrying 123lbs at $8. The run before that 6th of 14 at Murray Bridge 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Camooweal Girl carrying 122lbs at $7. Expected to feature.

3
Vaninetti silk

Most recently 4th of 9 at this track 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 1m, 2 len behind Royal Muse with 125lbs at $7.50. Before that 7th of 14 at Murray Bridge 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Camooweal Girl carrying 125lbs at $20. Among the top chances.

2nd Pick
3

Vaninetti

Jockey: Brooke King

Trainer: Dion & Raygan Koch

J: Brooke King

T: Dion & Raygan Koch

79---17%5/1

Analysis

Most recently 4th of 9 at this track 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 1m, 2 len behind Royal Muse with 125lbs at $7.50. Before that 7th of 14 at Murray Bridge 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Camooweal Girl carrying 125lbs at $20. Among the top chances.

8
Karma Queen silk

Racing second-up today. Last start 8th of 12 at this track 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Magna Torino carrying 123lbs at $5.50. At only start last preparation second last of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on January 14 over 7 ½f, 16 len behind Crackerjack Hatch carrying 127lbs at $31. Plenty of improvement to come.

3rd Pick
8

Karma Queen

Jockey: Rochelle Milnes

Trainer: Will Clarken

J: Rochelle Milnes

T: Will Clarken

89---10%9/1

Analysis

Racing second-up today. Last start 8th of 12 at this track 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Magna Torino carrying 123lbs at $5.50. At only start last preparation second last of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on January 14 over 7 ½f, 16 len behind Crackerjack Hatch carrying 127lbs at $31. Plenty of improvement to come.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.