AU - Strathalbyn - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

10.2f

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

17.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CRESPIANO (5) has come along nicely this campaign, earning his shot at black type last start when finishing sixth in the LR Morphettville Guineas. Only carries half a kilo extra for a sharp drop in grade. Expecting him to manage these. CAPTAIN LOVE (8) progressed nicely second-up when sent forward at Balaklava, only gunned down late by Theodor, who has since run well in town. Expect him to hunt forward again from the wide draw and give a bold sight third-up. HOTCH POTCH (2) finds it hard to land his second winning blow but is knocking on the door and finds another suitable contest. Don't take lightly. LANDMARK ALLEY (3) has taken his time to build into this campaign but was good last time when beaten a neck at Balaklava. Draws well again and can keep his momentum rolling. KOHALA (9) finds the maiden win elusive but should be breaking through soon. Keep safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	At the latest run 6th of 9 at Morphettville in the LR Morp Guin on March 9 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Bootlegger carrying 127lbs at $20. The run before that 2nd of 13 at Morphettville Parks Bm62 on February 28 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Midlife Crisis with 129lbs at $8.50. Progressing nicely and strikes a very winnable contest. 1st Pick 5 Crespiano Jockey: Jacob Opperman Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Jacob Opperman T: Phillip Stokes	241	-	-	-	56%	4/5
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 9 at Morphettville in the LR Morp Guin on March 9 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Bootlegger carrying 127lbs at $20. The run before that 2nd of 13 at Morphettville Parks Bm62 on February 28 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Midlife Crisis with 129lbs at $8.50. Progressing nicely and strikes a very winnable contest.
8	Third-up today. First-up 5th of 10 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on February 18 over 1m, 5 len behind Pretty Perky with 128lbs at $11. Second run from a spell set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at Balaklava Cl1-Sw on March 4 over 1m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Theodor carrying 126lbs at $7. Open to further improvement and is sure to give another bold sight. 2nd Pick 8 Captain Love Jockey: Dom Tourneur Trainer: Karen Letts-Maund J: Dom Tourneur T: Karen Letts-Maund	78	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 5th of 10 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on February 18 over 1m, 5 len behind Pretty Perky with 128lbs at $11. Second run from a spell set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at Balaklava Cl1-Sw on March 4 over 1m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Theodor carrying 126lbs at $7. Open to further improvement and is sure to give another bold sight.
2	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 9 at Balaklava 0-56 on March 11 over 1m, 3 len behind Shadow Hawk carrying 130lbs at $10. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Kingscote 0-56 on February 21 over 1 ¹/16m, 2.25 len behind Prancing Countess carrying 131lbs at $5.50. Definite winning chance. In a suitable race and is among the chances. 3rd Pick 2 Hotch Potch Jockey: Caitlin Jones Trainer: Sarah Rutten J: Caitlin Jones T: Sarah Rutten	85	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 9 at Balaklava 0-56 on March 11 over 1m, 3 len behind Shadow Hawk carrying 130lbs at $10. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Kingscote 0-56 on February 21 over 1 ¹/16m, 2.25 len behind Prancing Countess carrying 131lbs at $5.50. Definite winning chance. In a suitable race and is among the chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.