AU - Port Lincoln - Race 9
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Verdict
| #/Silk | Horse#/Horse | Power Rating | High Speed | Win % | Top 3% | Win Prob | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Comes back from BM68 Saturday company after finishing fifth at Morphettville, beaten just under three lengths behind Delightful Shecky despite jumping awkwardly, racing keenly and being interfered with near the home turn. He had been third in the same grade two runs back at big odds, beaten just over half a length, so the recent form is solid. The trip remains the small query, but the easier company and 3lbs claim give him a strong winning case. 1st Pick 1 Over Yonder Jockey: Caitlyn Munro Trainer: Brendon Davis J: Caitlyn Munro T: Brendon Davis | 138 | - | - | - | 39% | 13/8 |
Analysis Comes back from BM68 Saturday company after finishing fifth at Morphettville, beaten just under three lengths behind Delightful Shecky despite jumping awkwardly, racing keenly and being interfered with near the home turn. He had been third in the same grade two runs back at big odds, beaten just over half a length, so the recent form is solid. The trip remains the small query, but the easier company and 3lbs claim give him a strong winning case. | |||||||
10 | Won strongly in a BM54 at this track last start, beating Sethnique by four and a half lengths on soft ground after overcoming an awkward beginning and putting the race away. Her previous BM64 run was poor, but she had excuses after being tightened and held up near the 1f. This is a rise to BM60, yet her track-and-distance record and wet-track form give her a strong platform to go close again. 2nd Pick 10 Strawberry Swing Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe Trainer: Jackie Stoetzer J: Stacey Metcalfe T: Jackie Stoetzer | 124 | - | - | - | 19% | 9/2 |
Analysis Won strongly in a BM54 at this track last start, beating Sethnique by four and a half lengths on soft ground after overcoming an awkward beginning and putting the race away. Her previous BM64 run was poor, but she had excuses after being tightened and held up near the 1f. This is a rise to BM60, yet her track-and-distance record and wet-track form give her a strong platform to go close again. | |||||||
4 | Had no clear excuse when second last in a BM64 at this track last start, beaten eight and a half lengths after tracking the speed and failing to pick up. His previous run was a narrow BM54 win at this venue over 5f, when he finished strongly to beat Champagne Effort, and he has won twice at the distance. The last run has to be forgiven, but his wet-track record and winning rider returning keep him a genuine chance. 3rd Pick 4 Chesteray Jockey: Murray Henderson Trainer: Shylie Williams J: Murray Henderson T: Shylie Williams | 119 | - | - | - | 4% | 25/1 |
Analysis Had no clear excuse when second last in a BM64 at this track last start, beaten eight and a half lengths after tracking the speed and failing to pick up. His previous run was a narrow BM54 win at this venue over 5f, when he finished strongly to beat Champagne Effort, and he has won twice at the distance. The last run has to be forgiven, but his wet-track record and winning rider returning keep him a genuine chance. | |||||||

