AU - Port Lincoln - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

6.7f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.9K

VIEW

Verdict

DOUGAL MCKEEN (7) was ridden with more aggression last start and the move paid off when he staged a form reversal to get the cash over 7f at Mt Gambier. Building a nice record at this trip and with the race fitness edge on many key rivals he can add another win today. SIR PANAMA (3) returns after a 137-day absence. Had a strong SP profile right through last prep but failed to salute. Boasts an outstanding record of four wins and two placings from seven runs over this course and distance. Must be respected. CHARLESFORT (4) was back in form last time out, beaten under a length over 7 ¾f at Bordertown. Comes back in trip but the reapplication of blinkers should offset that. One of the key contenders. Distance specialist NAVY GOLD (5) is back after a 27-week spell. Has trialled twice recently and looks set to make an immediate impact. OUTCASTER (12) is first-up off a 24-week spell. Placed three from five when fresh so keep her in mind.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Most recently ran on from midfield and won by a nose in a Bm56 at Mt Gambier on September 20 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Stargust with 122lbs at $21. The start before that 6th of 11 in a 0-54 at Bordertown on September 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind She Sparkles with 126lbs at $26. Should enjoy a nice run from the inside alley and can win again. 1st Pick 7 Dougal Mckeen Jockey: Brooke King Trainer: John Macmillan J: Brooke King T: John Macmillan	137	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently ran on from midfield and won by a nose in a Bm56 at Mt Gambier on September 20 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Stargust with 122lbs at $21. The start before that 6th of 11 in a 0-54 at Bordertown on September 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind She Sparkles with 126lbs at $26. Should enjoy a nice run from the inside alley and can win again.
3	Resumes after a break of four-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign eighth of 12 at Balaklava 0-56 May 20 over 7f, soft track, 6 len behind Canny Defense carrying 126lbs at $5. Previously first up, sixth of 12 at this track 0-58 November 21 over 6f, 5 len behind Lava Lad with 125lbs at $11. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign. 2nd Pick 3 Sir Panama Jockey: Isaac Sit Trainer: Chris Harrison J: Isaac Sit T: Chris Harrison	62	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Resumes after a break of four-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign eighth of 12 at Balaklava 0-56 May 20 over 7f, soft track, 6 len behind Canny Defense carrying 126lbs at $5. Previously first up, sixth of 12 at this track 0-58 November 21 over 6f, 5 len behind Lava Lad with 125lbs at $11. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign.
4	Most recently 2nd of 9 in a 0-54 at Bordertown on September 11 over 7 ¾f, slow going 0.9 len behind Sazerac with 130lbs at $11. The run before that 6th of 12 in a 0-58 at Strathalbyn on August 30 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Hamner Springs with 128lbs at $7.50. Great chance to go one better. 3rd Pick 4 Charlesfort Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: David Tootell J: Connor Murtagh T: David Tootell	148	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 9 in a 0-54 at Bordertown on September 11 over 7 ¾f, slow going 0.9 len behind Sazerac with 130lbs at $11. The run before that 6th of 12 in a 0-58 at Strathalbyn on August 30 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Hamner Springs with 128lbs at $7.50. Great chance to go one better.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.