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2:42 AM

AU - Port Lincoln - Race 1

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
15.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FULLHEADOFSTEAM (1) has been freshened up since leading then tiring to finish fourth over 1m at Strathalbyn on 19 August. Wearing blinkers for the first time in what looks a far easier assignment. Expecting a big run. HABONDIA (9) settled midfield and held that position to the line without threatening over 6 ¼f at Morphettville Parks last start. Big drop in grade today and just needs a little luck from the wide gate to be highly competitive. HAMMERTIME (12) has transferred from Michael Freedman to Wayne Brown at Gawler since a moderate fourth over 5 ½f at Nowra eight weeks ago. Well weighted under this scale and should get the gun run from gate one. Likely to play a key role. IT'S A SOLID DEEL (3) dropped out quickly last start when stretched to 1 ¼m at Murray Bridge. Can run a better race back at this more suitable journey. Market watch on the debutant ONLY ONE RULER (11) who has finished third at all three trials.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Fullheadofsteam silk

Returns from a 46-day let-up. Most recently 4th of 7 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Strathalbyn on August 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Extra Chill carrying 128lbs at $11. Before that struggled in the run home, 6th of 11 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on August 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Terminal Shock with 123lbs at $4.40. Working up to a win. Capable of sharp improvement with blinkers on for the first time.

1st Pick
1

Fullheadofsteam

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: David Tootell

J: Connor Murtagh

T: David Tootell

104---36%9/5

Analysis

Returns from a 46-day let-up. Most recently 4th of 7 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Strathalbyn on August 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Extra Chill carrying 128lbs at $11. Before that struggled in the run home, 6th of 11 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on August 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Terminal Shock with 123lbs at $4.40. Working up to a win. Capable of sharp improvement with blinkers on for the first time.

9
Habondia silk

Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 11 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on September 9 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Simply Mac carrying 123lbs at $101. Last start 6th of 10 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Morphettville Parks on September 19 over 6 ¼f, 5 len behind Cosmic Shower carrying 123lbs at $101. Should come on at the third run back and in this ordinary affair is ready to play a major role.

2nd Pick
9

Habondia

Jockey: Brooke King

Trainer: John Macmillan

J: Brooke King

T: John Macmillan

151---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 11 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on September 9 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Simply Mac carrying 123lbs at $101. Last start 6th of 10 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Morphettville Parks on September 19 over 6 ¼f, 5 len behind Cosmic Shower carrying 123lbs at $101. Should come on at the third run back and in this ordinary affair is ready to play a major role.

12
Hammertime silk

Third-up today. Resumes off a 55 day letup. First-up ran last of 8 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on July 16 over 5f, 9 len behind Hearts Affair carrying 122lbs at $6. Second-up 4th of 9 in a F&M Mdn at Nowra on August 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bright Promise carrying 123lbs at $26. Can improve. Should be considered at the first run for a new stable.

3rd Pick
12

Hammertime

Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe

Trainer: Wayne Brown

J: Stacey Metcalfe

T: Wayne Brown

128---25%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today. Resumes off a 55 day letup. First-up ran last of 8 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on July 16 over 5f, 9 len behind Hearts Affair carrying 122lbs at $6. Second-up 4th of 9 in a F&M Mdn at Nowra on August 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bright Promise carrying 123lbs at $26. Can improve. Should be considered at the first run for a new stable.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bug

An apprentice jockey.