AU - Murray Bridge - Race 8

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

17.9K

VIEW

Verdict

FINAL COUNTDOWN (7) has been building up her fitness levels in 3 tougher fields than this since resuming from a spell, and an extra ½f will do her no harm. She benefits from a 7lbs claim and can get the job done here. ROYAL FOX (8) has been back to the trials since not having all favours here 4 weeks ago. Dropping back from 1m to 7f is the key, and he is worth another chance. TERRITORIAN (5) has improved since joining the Sarah Rutten stable, and he capped off that form with a well-deserved win here 3 weeks ago as the favourite by well over 3 lengths. Jacob Opperman sticks with him, and so do we. SHE'S TERNACIOUS (4) is a stablemate of the third pick who also won her last start, when sailing home to score by nearly a length from well back on the turn. She cops a wide draw, but should again be hitting the line hard. LAST WAR (16) got back and had no luck last time out at Strathalbyn a fortnight ago, and he is worth another chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Comes here off a 41-day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 12 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on July 23 over 6 ½f, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Terralight carrying 121lbs at $14. Before that 5th of 12 in a Bm62 at Bendigo on July 5 over 6 ½f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Magnetic Chess carrying 121lbs at $12. Expected to go close in this. 1st Pick 7 Final Countdown Jockey: Shayleigh Ingelse Trainer: Paul Preusker J: Shayleigh Ingelse T: Paul Preusker	85	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Comes here off a 41-day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 12 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on July 23 over 6 ½f, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Terralight carrying 121lbs at $14. Before that 5th of 12 in a Bm62 at Bendigo on July 5 over 6 ½f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Magnetic Chess carrying 121lbs at $12. Expected to go close in this.
8	At the latest run raced behind the speed prior to fading 11th of 14 in a 0-58 at this track on August 5 over 1m, slow going 13 len behind Collated with 132lbs at $6. The run before that 7th of 11 in a Bm62 at Morphettville Parks on July 11 over 1m, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Jandami carrying 130lbs at $15. Each way value in this. 2nd Pick 8 Royal Fox Jockey: Todd Pannell Trainer: Jessica Tzaferis J: Todd Pannell T: Jessica Tzaferis	82	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis At the latest run raced behind the speed prior to fading 11th of 14 in a 0-58 at this track on August 5 over 1m, slow going 13 len behind Collated with 132lbs at $6. The run before that 7th of 11 in a Bm62 at Morphettville Parks on July 11 over 1m, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Jandami carrying 130lbs at $15. Each way value in this.
5	Recent form sound. Last start favourite, scored a big 4 len win at this track on August 12 over 7f in heavy going defeating Last War carrying 130lbs at $3. Before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 9 in a Cg&E 0-56 at this track on July 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Justica's Bonus carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Impressed last start and can go on with it. 3rd Pick 5 Territorian Jockey: Jacob Opperman Trainer: Sarah Rutten J: Jacob Opperman T: Sarah Rutten	192	-	-	-	25%	Scratched
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start favourite, scored a big 4 len win at this track on August 12 over 7f in heavy going defeating Last War carrying 130lbs at $3. Before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 9 in a Cg&E 0-56 at this track on July 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Justica's Bonus carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Impressed last start and can go on with it.

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