AU - Murray Bridge - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

17.9K

VIEW

Verdict

TAUPO TIGER (8) has recently joined the Stokes team, and he ran the race of an improver when finishing third here 3 weeks ago over 1 ¼m. He cops another wide draw, but is good enough to take this out, especially if the ground is testing. YOROKOBI (5) won his penultimate start at Mackay before joining the Weinert stable at Strathalbyn, and finishing fourth less then a length from the winner as the favourite. He has less time between runs this time and should go close to taking this out. Follow your money. TOTTORI (3) has found it hard to win another race, but he will find this easier than any of his last 3 starts. He has the pole position and is worth including in all combos. CHANCE TAKEN (9) made up a lot of late ground at Morphettville 4 days ago, and he is expected to be competitive in this. Each-way value. EXALTED FIRE (1) is a durable veteran, and at this level, he is always an each-way threat.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Most recently 3rd of 14 in a 0-58 at this track on August 12 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 2 len behind Chartin with 128lbs at $7. Before that 7th of 10 in a 0-56 at Strathalbyn on July 29 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Divine Fire with 131lbs at $5.50. Can take this out. 1st Pick 8 Taupo Tiger Jockey: Noel Callow Trainer: Phillip & Tommy Stokes J: Noel Callow T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes	112	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 14 in a 0-58 at this track on August 12 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 2 len behind Chartin with 128lbs at $7. Before that 7th of 10 in a 0-56 at Strathalbyn on July 29 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Divine Fire with 131lbs at $5.50. Can take this out.
5	Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 13 in a Bm56 at Strathalbyn on August 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Spelman carrying 131lbs at $4.60. The race before that won by 4.5 len at Mackay on July 17 over 1m defeating Latin Love carrying 125lbs at $4.20. Rates highly and is among the chances. 2nd Pick 5 Yorokobi Jockey: Harry Grace Trainer: Indianna Weinert J: Harry Grace T: Indianna Weinert	88	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 13 in a Bm56 at Strathalbyn on August 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Spelman carrying 131lbs at $4.60. The race before that won by 4.5 len at Mackay on July 17 over 1m defeating Latin Love carrying 125lbs at $4.20. Rates highly and is among the chances.
3	Last start 4th of 9 in a Bm64 at Morphettville Parks on August 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Maxildo with 125lbs at $7. Before that 5th of 13 in a 4yo+ 0-64 at Morphettville on July 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Cradle Of Jazz with 126lbs at $8.50. Better placed and expected to go well. 3rd Pick 3 Tottori Jockey: Jake Toeroek Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly J: Jake Toeroek T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly	126	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start 4th of 9 in a Bm64 at Morphettville Parks on August 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Maxildo with 125lbs at $7. Before that 5th of 13 in a 4yo+ 0-64 at Morphettville on July 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Cradle Of Jazz with 126lbs at $8.50. Better placed and expected to go well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.