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5:00 AM

AU - Murray Bridge - Race 5

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
9.9f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 5
17.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DURHAM (2) was finally able to break through last time and did so in impressive fashion when rattling home from the back. His late splits suggest the rise to 1 ¼m won't bother him and the 7lbs sticks to get him in well at the weights again. Can make it two on the bounce. VALUED (7) has found just the one better in his last three and that form around him reads well for this. Is another that gets the benefit of a big claim. So with even luck he's a good chance to land the winning blow. LUDINA (14) has been much better in her last two when ridden more positively from better draws. At her top now and is another that gets in light. Can break through this time. SUIT OF WANDS (6) doesn't win out of turn but has peaks that measure up. Has a sticky draw to overcome but is in the mix. YOUBEEFORTY (8) has been much better of late when sent forward. Expecting similar tactics, so should give a sight.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Durham silk

Recent form sound. Last start won by a head at this track 2yo+ Mdn-Sw July 17 over 1m in soft going defeating Navy Rok with 120lbs at $6.50. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 14 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw on June 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Pick A Symphony carrying 131lbs at $17. Fitter and is a top chance again.

1st Pick
2

Durham

Jockey: Shayleigh Ingelse

Trainer: Paul Preusker

J: Shayleigh Ingelse

T: Paul Preusker

86---16%11/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start won by a head at this track 2yo+ Mdn-Sw July 17 over 1m in soft going defeating Navy Rok with 120lbs at $6.50. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 14 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw on June 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Pick A Symphony carrying 131lbs at $17. Fitter and is a top chance again.

7
Valued silk

Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 10 at Balaklava Cl1-Sw on July 26 over 1m, slow going 1.1 len behind Contrary with 129lbs at $8. The run before that 2nd of 13 at Morphettville Cl1-Sw on July 8 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, head behind Moussaka with 129lbs at $6.50. Genuine type who gets his chance.

2nd Pick
7

Valued

Jockey: Ashlee Stone

Trainer: Garret Lynch

J: Ashlee Stone

T: Garret Lynch

114---9%11/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 10 at Balaklava Cl1-Sw on July 26 over 1m, slow going 1.1 len behind Contrary with 129lbs at $8. The run before that 2nd of 13 at Morphettville Cl1-Sw on July 8 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, head behind Moussaka with 129lbs at $6.50. Genuine type who gets his chance.

14
Ludina silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mildura Mdn-Sw on July 17 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, nose behind Hexed carrying 127lbs at $6.50. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at this track 3yo Bm70 on July 4 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.75 len behind Orlova with 112lbs at $13. Leading prospect.

3rd Pick
14

Ludina

Jockey: Matt Chadwick

Trainer: Hazel Fertier

J: Matt Chadwick

T: Hazel Fertier

108---10%10/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mildura Mdn-Sw on July 17 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, nose behind Hexed carrying 127lbs at $6.50. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at this track 3yo Bm70 on July 4 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.75 len behind Orlova with 112lbs at $13. Leading prospect.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.