AU - Murray Bridge - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Class 2

Turf

SOFT 5

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

ROCKTAGON (4) appeals as the one to beat with the class drop from BM66 company, a previous win at this track and the winning rider back aboard. His latest fifth at Mt Gambier was plain on face value, but he had been beaten just under two lengths at Strathalbyn the run prior and handles soft ground well enough to get his chance. TOGETHERFOREVER (11) is the main danger after working home into fourth at Balaklava and she brings a useful wet-track profile, plus a claim that helps her at the weights. SAFE BET (1) has not fired in two runs this campaign, yet he is third-up, proven around 7f and comes through a BM68 at Penola, so a sharper effort would not surprise. OUI OUI MA CHERIE (3) is fitter second-up after Saturday company at Morphettville and her track-and-trip record keeps her firmly in the mix, though the soft ground is the reservation.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Drops back from BM66 grade after finishing fifth at Mt Gambier, where he was beaten six and a half lengths but kept battling from the rear. His Strathalbyn run prior was better, beaten just under two lengths in a CG BM56 on soft ground. The 7f is not his strongest exposed stat, but he has won at this track, handles wet ground and gets his winning rider back, making him the clear horse to beat. 1st Pick 4 Rocktagon Jockey: Harry Grace Trainer: Linda Treloar J: Harry Grace T: Linda Treloar	104	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Drops back from BM66 grade after finishing fifth at Mt Gambier, where he was beaten six and a half lengths but kept battling from the rear. His Strathalbyn run prior was better, beaten just under two lengths in a CG BM56 on soft ground. The 7f is not his strongest exposed stat, but he has won at this track, handles wet ground and gets his winning rider back, making him the clear horse to beat.
11	Worked home well for fourth in a BM56 at Balaklava last start, beaten just under five lengths after having work to do, and she was much better found in the market than at Mt Gambier two back. The class drop, 7lbs claim and return to 7f all help, while her two wins on wet tracks are useful on a soft 6. She brings enough upside from that latest run to be a serious threat. 2nd Pick 11 Togetherforever Jockey: Jemma Gutte Trainer: Linda Treloar J: Jemma Gutte T: Linda Treloar	68	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Worked home well for fourth in a BM56 at Balaklava last start, beaten just under five lengths after having work to do, and she was much better found in the market than at Mt Gambier two back. The class drop, 7lbs claim and return to 7f all help, while her two wins on wet tracks are useful on a soft 6. She brings enough upside from that latest run to be a serious threat.
1	Comes into this third-up after finishing eighth in a BM68 at Penola, beaten four lengths after settling prominently and failing to quicken. His previous run at this track was also plain, but the class drop, barrier 2 and one win with one placing from four tries around 7f give him a far better set-up. If he finds his earlier form, he is right in the winning mix. 3rd Pick 1 Safe Bet Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: Hazel Fertier J: Connor Murtagh T: Hazel Fertier	136	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Comes into this third-up after finishing eighth in a BM68 at Penola, beaten four lengths after settling prominently and failing to quicken. His previous run at this track was also plain, but the class drop, barrier 2 and one win with one placing from four tries around 7f give him a far better set-up. If he finds his earlier form, he is right in the winning mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

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A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

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A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.