AU - Murray Bridge - Race 2

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

16.8K

VIEW

Verdict

CARPE ASTRA (8) made an encouraging debut last time out, finishing third over this track and trip. Open to sharp improvement and can get off the mark this time. STYLISH FLIPPER (7) is yet to break through in three runs. Finished fifth at his last appearance here on December 20 after he got a long way back in the run. Finds a suitable assignment this time and is a great chance to break through. SECOND HEAVEN (11) is a Ribchester filly on debut for the smart juvenile stable of R & C Jolly. Has impressed in her lead-up work and gets in light with the claimer sticking. Can make an immediate impact. GIMME SOME LOVIN' (9) is a four-start maiden who returned last time and finished sixth at Morphettville Parks. Will derive great benefit from that outing and deserves consideration. NIC THE CASH (1) carries a fitness edge and looks best of the rest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Was well in the market at debut, rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 8 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Tobikko carrying 120lbs at $4.80. Well in commission that day so she lived up to expectations. 1st Pick 8 Carpe Astra Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Michael Hickmott J: Non Runner T: Michael Hickmott	182	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Was well in the market at debut, rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 8 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Tobikko carrying 120lbs at $4.80. Well in commission that day so she lived up to expectations.
7	Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 7 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 7 over 4 ½f, 1.1 len behind Act Of Treachery carrying 127lbs at $5.50. Last start 5th of 8 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Tobikko carrying 118lbs at $21. One of the leading chances. 2nd Pick 7 Stylish Flipper Jockey: Jason Holder Trainer: Paul Carey J: Jason Holder T: Paul Carey	113	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 7 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 7 over 4 ½f, 1.1 len behind Act Of Treachery carrying 127lbs at $5.50. Last start 5th of 8 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Tobikko carrying 118lbs at $21. One of the leading chances.
11	Filly by Ribchester facing the starter for the first time. Ran 3rd in a jump-out at Morphettville on December 16. Yard have a strong strike-rate with debutantes. 3rd Pick 11 Second Heaven Jockey: Caitlyn Munro Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly J: Caitlyn Munro T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly	62	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Filly by Ribchester facing the starter for the first time. Ran 3rd in a jump-out at Morphettville on December 16. Yard have a strong strike-rate with debutantes.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.