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7:53 AM

AU - Mount Gambier - Race 7

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
10.2f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
14.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FOUR OUTLAWS (6) was narrowly denied last start at Naracoorte and continues to build a strong record over this track and trip. With the claim bringing him in well at the weights, this looks his chance to break through. RIPPER (2) got back from a wide draw at Donald but closed off strongly into fifth over 1 ?m. Doesn't need to improve much to be right in the finish here. READY BY DESIGN (7) was prominent before finishing third at Naracoorte last start. Strips fitter now, though the draw makes things tricky, he's still capable of featuring with luck in running. ZIBULON (5) is going better than his form reads and will appreciate this drop in grade. Strips fitter third-up and can make his presence felt.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Four Outlaws silk

Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Naracoorte Bm 56 on November 2 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, nose behind Bush Inference carrying 134lbs at $7.50. The run before that 5th of 7 at this track Bm70 on October 8 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 7 len behind Idon'tgetit with 122lbs at $8. Can get the verdict this time.

1st Pick
6

Four Outlaws

Jockey: Caitlin Tootell

Trainer: Michael O'leary

J: Caitlin Tootell

T: Michael O'leary

104---17%5/1

Analysis

Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Naracoorte Bm 56 on November 2 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, nose behind Bush Inference carrying 134lbs at $7.50. The run before that 5th of 7 at this track Bm70 on October 8 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 7 len behind Idon'tgetit with 122lbs at $8. Can get the verdict this time.

2
Ripper silk

At the latest run 5th of 11 at Donald Bm66 on November 16 over 1m, 2 len behind Straand Deal carrying 126lbs at $21. The race before that 5th of 9 at Horsham Bm62 on October 19 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Budjik Boy carrying 130lbs at $26. Watch for him dropping on these late.

2nd Pick
2

Ripper

Jockey: Tom Madden

Trainer: Paul Preusker

J: Tom Madden

T: Paul Preusker

95---16%11/2

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 11 at Donald Bm66 on November 16 over 1m, 2 len behind Straand Deal carrying 126lbs at $21. The race before that 5th of 9 at Horsham Bm62 on October 19 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Budjik Boy carrying 130lbs at $26. Watch for him dropping on these late.

7
Ready By Design silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 10 at Avoca Bm56 Handicap on October 18 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Love Sparkles carrying 133lbs at $16. Second-up 3rd of 10 at Naracoorte Bm 56 on November 2 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Bush Inference carrying 133lbs at $8. Not far off a win and is a definite winning hope.

3rd Pick
7

Ready By Design

Jockey: Campbell Rawiller

Trainer: Sharni Julian

J: Campbell Rawiller

T: Sharni Julian

82---12%8/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 10 at Avoca Bm56 Handicap on October 18 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Love Sparkles carrying 133lbs at $16. Second-up 3rd of 10 at Naracoorte Bm 56 on November 2 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Bush Inference carrying 133lbs at $8. Not far off a win and is a definite winning hope.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.