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3:45 AM

AU - Mount Gambier - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7.7f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 7
21.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SIMPLY OUTRAGEOUS (7) turned in a mediocre run last time out over the mile at Ballarat after a strong all the way win the start prior. Will be sharpened by the blinkers going on for the first time. Expect her to push forward and be the one they have to catch. GEFFINA (6) gave away a start then stormed home to win over 7f at Warrnambool last time out. Found winning form and should prove tough to hold out again. THE NARRATOR (3) returned from a spell last start with a decisive over 6 ½f at Warrnambool. Fitter for that last hitout and shouldn't be bothered by the extra ground. EMERALD REWARD (4) hasn't threatened in his last two but has earlier form that measures up. One for the minors.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Simply Outrageous silk

At the latest run 6th of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 10 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Siriusly Hot with 126lbs at $2.15. The start before that favourite, won by 4.5 len at Echuca Bm56 April 16 over 1m defeating Three Reel Roses carrying 128lbs at $1.40. Big chance.

1st Pick
7

Simply Outrageous

Jockey: Kayla Crowther

Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

J: Kayla Crowther

T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

122---25%3/1

Analysis

At the latest run 6th of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 10 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Siriusly Hot with 126lbs at $2.15. The start before that favourite, won by 4.5 len at Echuca Bm56 April 16 over 1m defeating Three Reel Roses carrying 128lbs at $1.40. Big chance.

6
Geffina silk

Racing well recently. Most recently won by 0.5 len at Warrnambool F&M Bm70 May 7 over 7f in the wet defeating Charming Deel with 125lbs at $7. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Terang Bm66 on April 12 over 7f, on heavy track, head behind Frosty Night with 125lbs at $1.90. Hard to beat again.

2nd Pick
6

Geffina

Jockey: Tom Madden

Trainer: Aaron Purcell

J: Tom Madden

T: Aaron Purcell

172---31%9/4

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently won by 0.5 len at Warrnambool F&M Bm70 May 7 over 7f in the wet defeating Charming Deel with 125lbs at $7. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Terang Bm66 on April 12 over 7f, on heavy track, head behind Frosty Night with 125lbs at $1.90. Hard to beat again.

3
The Narrator silk

Second run back. First-up after five months won by 2 len at Warrnambool Bm62 May 7 over 6 ½f in the wet defeating Gallant Prince carrying 132lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 6th of 12 at Warrnambool Bm62 on October 30 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Hay Joe carrying 133lbs at $6.50. Leading contender.

3rd Pick
3

The Narrator

Jockey: Jack Hill

Trainer: Shane Jackson

J: Jack Hill

T: Shane Jackson

149---20%4/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months won by 2 len at Warrnambool Bm62 May 7 over 6 ½f in the wet defeating Gallant Prince carrying 132lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 6th of 12 at Warrnambool Bm62 on October 30 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Hay Joe carrying 133lbs at $6.50. Leading contender.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.