AU - Mount Gambier - Race 2

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

16.3K

VIEW

Verdict

KAYLA KRUZEN (11) is ready to win after another minor placing last start at Murray Bridge. Draws well for Crowther and looks ready to put it all together. GAZELLE (10) returns and it's worth noting she filled a minor placing when returning from a spell last prep at Penola. Was beaten narrowly here twice last campaign and if she can replicate that sort of form she can break through. DEL LIRENZA (12) showed good early speed last start on debut and fought on well to hold third at Ararat. Likely improver who is among the chances. ERAJA (2) progressed nicely last time out when holding onto second at the Sunshine Coast. Drops back in trip off 54 days in-between and debuts the new colours. Is still lightly raced and worth keeping safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Recent form sound. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Murray Bridge 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 6 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Nordic Viking with 122lbs at $26. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Naracoorte 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on April 19 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Taken To Task carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Leading prospect. 1st Pick 11 Kayla Kruzen Jockey: Kayla Crowther Trainer: Matthew Seyers J: Kayla Crowther T: Matthew Seyers	188	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Murray Bridge 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 6 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Nordic Viking with 122lbs at $26. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Naracoorte 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on April 19 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Taken To Task carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Leading prospect.
10	Resuming. Finished off last preparation third of 8 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw December 21 over 7 ¾f, soft track, 9 len behind Mr Fisher carrying 117lbs at $1.65. On debut third of 11 at Penola 3yo+ Mdn-Sw October 17 over 5f, soft track, 1.2 len behind Southern Style carrying 119lbs at $5. Everything points to a positive return. 2nd Pick 10 Gazelle Jockey: Alysha Warren Trainer: Gary Boyce J: Alysha Warren T: Gary Boyce	90	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation third of 8 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw December 21 over 7 ¾f, soft track, 9 len behind Mr Fisher carrying 117lbs at $1.65. On debut third of 11 at Penola 3yo+ Mdn-Sw October 17 over 5f, soft track, 1.2 len behind Southern Style carrying 119lbs at $5. Everything points to a positive return.
12	At debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 13 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on May 9 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Fierce Dreams carrying 121lbs at $13. Rates highly and can get off the mark. 3rd Pick 12 Del Lirenza Jockey: Will Price Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Will Price T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	135	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 13 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on May 9 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Fierce Dreams carrying 121lbs at $13. Rates highly and can get off the mark.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.