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4:50 AM

AU - Mount Gambier - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
14.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GAZELLE (12) continues to build nicely, finishing just a nose off the winner at Strathalbyn last time. With Milnes sticking and fitness peaking, she looks hard to beat. FLYING SHELBY (1) was prominent before boxing on into fourth at Hamilton over the mile. The drop back in trip suits, and from the inside draw he maps to get every favour. BANYAN JENNI (7) failed at Warrnambool when resuming but this looks a more suitable assignment. Expect sharp improvement. IMACREEDYTWO (2) was below his best last start but his Mortlake run two back was full of merit when charging late. Will get back from the draw and be saved for one run, capable of finishing over the top if the tempo is genuine.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Gazelle silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 6 ¾f, nose behind Big Rita June with 120lbs at $9.50. The start before that 4th of 11 at Naracoorte 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Layin' Up with 120lbs at $11. Made headway last time. Sets up nicely for this and is ready to bust through.

1st Pick
12

Gazelle

Jockey: Rochelle Milnes

Trainer: Gary Boyce

J: Rochelle Milnes

T: Gary Boyce

220---48%11/10

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 6 ¾f, nose behind Big Rita June with 120lbs at $9.50. The start before that 4th of 11 at Naracoorte 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Layin' Up with 120lbs at $11. Made headway last time. Sets up nicely for this and is ready to bust through.

1
Flying Shelby silk

Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Hamilton Mdn-Sw on November 7 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Parkrun carrying 131lbs at $41. Before that 5th of 12 at Penola 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bad To The Bone carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Has built nicely into this and deserves respect.

2nd Pick
1

Flying Shelby

Jockey: E Walsh

Trainer: Paul Jones

J: E Walsh

T: Paul Jones

100---23%7/2

Analysis

Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Hamilton Mdn-Sw on November 7 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Parkrun carrying 131lbs at $41. Before that 5th of 12 at Penola 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bad To The Bone carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Has built nicely into this and deserves respect.

7
Banyan Jenni silk

Second-up. Comes off a 43-day let-up. First-up after six months 5th of 9 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on October 16 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Smashing Lad carrying 127lbs at $9. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 8 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Babushka Miss carrying 123lbs at $5. Strips fitter and should be in the mix.

3rd Pick
7

Banyan Jenni

Jockey: Tom Madden

Trainer: Shane Jackson

J: Tom Madden

T: Shane Jackson

78---14%13/2

Analysis

Second-up. Comes off a 43-day let-up. First-up after six months 5th of 9 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on October 16 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Smashing Lad carrying 127lbs at $9. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 8 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Babushka Miss carrying 123lbs at $5. Strips fitter and should be in the mix.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.