AU - Morphettville Parks - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

7.7f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

32.5K

VIEW

Verdict

BEAUTIFUL JEWEL (6) is knocking on the door this campaign and looks well placed despite the wide alley. With Pannell aboard she has the slight edge and can finally break through. I CATCHEM FOX (4) arrives with solid Victorian form and a strong record at this track. The claim helps and he's expected to be right in the thick of things. FALAISE (1) could find himself in a tricky spot from the low draw but if the gaps appear, he has the turn of foot to give them a scare. Interesting runner on the quick back-up. BOWER BOY (8) improved sharply second-up when closing off into the frame. Open to further progression and with Holder sticking, he's in the mix. WILD WINNER (7) is a consistent mare who scored here three weeks ago. Third-up now and still improving, she must be taken seriously.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 7 at this track Cl2 on November 15 over 7 ¾f, 0.9 len behind Isuspectjeu with 129lbs at $1.95. The start before that 3rd in a small field at this track Hcp on September 27 over 7 ¾f, 2 len behind Watadeel with 117lbs at $5. Pannell will need to weave some magic but she's going good enough to win. 1st Pick 6 Beautiful Jewel Jockey: Todd Pannell Trainer: Travis Doudle J: Todd Pannell T: Travis Doudle	123	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 7 at this track Cl2 on November 15 over 7 ¾f, 0.9 len behind Isuspectjeu with 129lbs at $1.95. The start before that 3rd in a small field at this track Hcp on September 27 over 7 ¾f, 2 len behind Watadeel with 117lbs at $5. Pannell will need to weave some magic but she's going good enough to win.
4	At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 16 at Flemington Mcc Final on November 6 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Guerite with 119lbs at $31. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Horsham Bm70 on October 19 over 7f, neck behind Belthil carrying 128lbs at $6. Hard to beat on his best form. 2nd Pick 4 I Catchem Fox Jockey: Alysha Warren Trainer: Darryl Dodson J: Alysha Warren T: Darryl Dodson	141	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 16 at Flemington Mcc Final on November 6 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Guerite with 119lbs at $31. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Horsham Bm70 on October 19 over 7f, neck behind Belthil carrying 128lbs at $6. Hard to beat on his best form.
1	Last start 5th of 11 at Morphettville Bm70 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Oxford Blue carrying 130lbs at $7. The run before that came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a head at this track Bm64 November 8 over 7 ¾f defeating Thermodynamic carrying 132lbs at $7. Will need the gaps to appear but is an interesting run on the quick back-up. 3rd Pick 1 Falaise Jockey: Jacob Opperman Trainer: Stuart Padman J: Jacob Opperman T: Stuart Padman	146	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Last start 5th of 11 at Morphettville Bm70 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Oxford Blue carrying 130lbs at $7. The run before that came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a head at this track Bm64 November 8 over 7 ¾f defeating Thermodynamic carrying 132lbs at $7. Will need the gaps to appear but is an interesting run on the quick back-up.

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