AU - Morphettville Parks - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

11.2f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

36.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Small field but plenty of winning chances. HIGH SOCIETY GIRL (4) is racing consistently and is capable of breaking through for another win. The quick back-up looks suitable, although she did have every chance last week over 1 ?/16m. SILENT EMMY (5) looks the most progressive horse in the race and it's hard to fault her recent form. She will roll forward and give a sight in front. If Rochelle Milnes is able to pinch a couple of cheap sectionals, she will be hard to run down. RABTAT (1) is in career-best form and must be a chance to win again, while SIRIUS BLACK (3) is getting closer with each run and is worth some thought.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Most recently 4th of 12 at Morphettville Bm78 on August 30 over 1/16m, slow going 1.1 len behind Paradise Storm carrying 119lbs at $12. The race before that 7th of 12 at this track Bm76 on August 16 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Goliotus with 119lbs at $9.50. Keeps racing well and has another win in her. 1st Pick 4 High Society Girl Jockey: Jessica Tzaferis Trainer: Stephen Theodore J: Jessica Tzaferis T: Stephen Theodore	147	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Most recently 4th of 12 at Morphettville Bm78 on August 30 over 1/16m, slow going 1.1 len behind Paradise Storm carrying 119lbs at $12. The race before that 7th of 12 at this track Bm76 on August 16 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Goliotus with 119lbs at $9.50. Keeps racing well and has another win in her.
5	Last start gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 12 at this track 0-64 on August 16 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Eight On The Dot with 125lbs at $2.50. The race before that favourite, won by 3 len at Morphettville Bm68 July 26 over 1 ¼m in heavy going defeating Exalted Ruth carrying 117lbs at $9. Expected to be very competitive again. 2nd Pick 5 Silent Emmy Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: Niki O'shea J: Rochelle Milnes T: Niki O'shea	146	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 12 at this track 0-64 on August 16 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Eight On The Dot with 125lbs at $2.50. The race before that favourite, won by 3 len at Morphettville Bm68 July 26 over 1 ¼m in heavy going defeating Exalted Ruth carrying 117lbs at $9. Expected to be very competitive again.
2	Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at this track Bm76 on August 16 over 1m, slow going nose behind Goliotus with 123lbs at $6. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Murray Bridge Bm62 on August 2 over 1 ¼m, slow going long-neck behind Bellakai carrying 137lbs at $12. Shapes as a top three chance again. 3rd Pick 2 Lavish Thinker Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Non Runner T: Phillip Stokes	156	-	-	-	25%	Scratched
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at this track Bm76 on August 16 over 1m, slow going nose behind Goliotus with 123lbs at $6. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Murray Bridge Bm62 on August 2 over 1 ¼m, slow going long-neck behind Bellakai carrying 137lbs at $12. Shapes as a top three chance again.

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An apprentice jockey.

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A male horse that is four years of age or under.