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Resulted

AU - Gawler - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
8.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
17.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NUNYA (4) brings the most reliable recent profile, with consecutive seconds this campaign and a last-start Murray Bridge placing where he was beaten just under two lengths after starting near the top of betting. He also had Ateyate behind him there, and his overall record of three placings from four starts reads well. Gets his chance. ATEYATE (1) is the main danger, backing up from that same Murray Bridge race after finishing third and he is race-fit enough to press the favourite if the 1 ¹/16m holds no concern. MIZZEN JIB (3) lifted sharply when second at this track over 7 ½f after being unwanted in the market, though this is a new distance range and his Mildura run two back was plain. Can feature on best. IN PRIVATE (7) has been beaten just over eight lengths at both runs this campaign, but there was some late work at Murray Bridge after early tightening and she is capable of improving into a placing.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Nunya silk

Has found the line of consistency this campaign, finishing second at Halidon before another second to Swan Dance at Murray Bdge last start, beaten just under two lengths. He was near the top of betting there, had Ateyate behind him, and has placed three times from four starts overall. Third-up now and brings the clearest winning profile.

1st Pick
4

Nunya

Jockey: Jackson Murphy

Trainer: Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor

J: Jackson Murphy

T: Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor

221---90%

Analysis

Has found the line of consistency this campaign, finishing second at Halidon before another second to Swan Dance at Murray Bdge last start, beaten just under two lengths. He was near the top of betting there, had Ateyate behind him, and has placed three times from four starts overall. Third-up now and brings the clearest winning profile.

1
Ateyate silk

Comes through the key Murray Bdge form line after finishing third to Swan Dance, beaten just under four lengths on soft ground, when he jumped awkwardly but worked home evenly. The start prior at Strathalbyn was similar, finishing fifth to Rich Melody after racing keenly early and not quite finishing off. The trip still asks a question, but race fitness gives him a strong winning case.

2nd Pick
1

Ateyate

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: Stephen Theodore

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Stephen Theodore

123---15%

Analysis

Comes through the key Murray Bdge form line after finishing third to Swan Dance, beaten just under four lengths on soft ground, when he jumped awkwardly but worked home evenly. The start prior at Strathalbyn was similar, finishing fifth to Rich Melody after racing keenly early and not quite finishing off. The trip still asks a question, but race fitness gives him a strong winning case.

3
Mizzen Jib silk

Improved sharply second-up at this track, finishing second to Mr Ribtickler over 7 ½f after settling back and travelling well into the race, despite being unwanted in the market. That was a clear step back in the right direction after he was beaten over 11 lengths at Mildura two back. New distance is the query, but he has a solid place profile.

3rd Pick
3

Mizzen Jib

Jockey: Caitlin Jones

Trainer: Sarah Rutten

J: Caitlin Jones

T: Sarah Rutten

125---13%

Analysis

Improved sharply second-up at this track, finishing second to Mr Ribtickler over 7 ½f after settling back and travelling well into the race, despite being unwanted in the market. That was a clear step back in the right direction after he was beaten over 11 lengths at Mildura two back. New distance is the query, but he has a solid place profile.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.