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5:30 AM

AU - Bordertown - Race 5

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
7.7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
13.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MISS TROMBARI (7) is the one to beat after her fourth in a BM62 at Morphettville, where she was unwanted in the market yet finished within a length and a half of the winner in Saturday company. The easier assignment, barrier 1 and 4lbs claim all help, and she has already placed twice at this distance. On top. BUCKS NIGHT (2) brings a sharper profile than his ninth at Echuca reads, having been slow away, covered ground and still closed off from big odds, while the quick back-up and Alana Kelly returning are positives. LET IT RIDE (3) was plain first-up but returns to a trip where he has two wins and three placings from nine starts, with Todd Pannell booked for the second-up run. Include. THE TANK (8) knuckled down strongly to get within 1.1 lengths of the winner in third last start over 7f at Murray Bridge when coming back from a spell. Sure to go well again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Miss Trombari silk

Produced the best recent reference in the race when fourth in a BM62 at Morphettville, beaten a length and a half by I Am Ralph in Saturday company after being unwanted in the market. The 7 ¾f record is place-heavy rather than winning, but barrier 1, a 4lbs claim and easier company set her up ideally. Holds the clearest winning platform in this field.

1st Pick
7

Miss Trombari

Jockey: Jemma Gutte

Trainer: Raharna Mcdonald

J: Jemma Gutte

T: Raharna Mcdonald

92---17%5/1

Analysis

Produced the best recent reference in the race when fourth in a BM62 at Morphettville, beaten a length and a half by I Am Ralph in Saturday company after being unwanted in the market. The 7 ¾f record is place-heavy rather than winning, but barrier 1, a 4lbs claim and easier company set her up ideally. Holds the clearest winning platform in this field.

1
Black Sea silk

Worked home well from the rear when fifth in a BM58 at Murray Bdge last start, beaten just under three lengths by Shalhavmusik after drifting back before the turn. He beat Let It Ride home there and now comes to an easier meeting second-up. Wide draw is the query, but the class relief helps.

2nd Pick
1

Black Sea

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor

J: Non Runner

T: Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor

112---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Worked home well from the rear when fifth in a BM58 at Murray Bdge last start, beaten just under three lengths by Shalhavmusik after drifting back before the turn. He beat Let It Ride home there and now comes to an easier meeting second-up. Wide draw is the query, but the class relief helps.

2
Bucks Night silk

Closed off better than ninth suggests at Echuca last start, beginning slowly, covering ground and still getting within three and a half lengths of Shipstern Bluff at big odds. He was also slow away at Kyneton two back, so the manners remain a concern, and he is unplaced from two tries around this trip. Quick back-up and winning rider returning give him a sharper profile than the form reads.

3rd Pick
2

Bucks Night

Jockey: Alana Kelly

Trainer: Daniel Kelly

J: Alana Kelly

T: Daniel Kelly

71---6%18/1

Analysis

Closed off better than ninth suggests at Echuca last start, beginning slowly, covering ground and still getting within three and a half lengths of Shipstern Bluff at big odds. He was also slow away at Kyneton two back, so the manners remain a concern, and he is unplaced from two tries around this trip. Quick back-up and winning rider returning give him a sharper profile than the form reads.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.