AU - Bordertown - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

7.7f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

13.5K

VIEW

Verdict

DORA AURORA (5) improved sharply on her eighth two starts back at Mt Gambier with a win over 7 ¾f at Mt Gambier two-and-a-half weeks ago. Ideally placed and is sure to prove tough to beat again. INFER (2) showed little early speed from an outside draw last time then wound up strongly to score at Swan Hill. Should be in the finish again. LUMBER DREAM (3) hit the frame two starts ago at this track but ran below par last time when sixth at Gawler. Finds the right race this time and can find winning form. TOES IN FIRST (6) has been well below his best in his last two but there's earlier form in the prep that can measure right up for this. Don't dismiss. SEE DE NIGHT (10) was well below his best last time but had been showing good early dash prior and fighting on well. Don't dismiss completely.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Most recently won by 0.8 len at Mt Gambier 0-56 June 10 over 7 ¾f in heavy going defeating Robert The Puss carrying 118lbs at $9. The start before that 8th of 14 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on May 22 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Hard Leaf with 120lbs at $5.50. Can easily finish right over the top of these. 1st Pick 5 Dora Aurora Jockey: Alysha Warren Trainer: Justin Pickering J: Alysha Warren T: Justin Pickering	141	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Most recently won by 0.8 len at Mt Gambier 0-56 June 10 over 7 ¾f in heavy going defeating Robert The Puss carrying 118lbs at $9. The start before that 8th of 14 at Mt Gambier 0-54 on May 22 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Hard Leaf with 120lbs at $5.50. Can easily finish right over the top of these.
2	Most recently favourite, won by 1.75 len at Swan Hill 4yo+ Mdn-Sw June 7 over 1m on a soft track defeating Cheers To Us with 131lbs at $2.70. The start before that 5th of 14 at Mt Gambier 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Giddy Up Bankcheck carrying 128lbs at $7. Fitter and open to further improvement. 2nd Pick 2 Infer Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Toby Lake J: Non Runner T: Toby Lake	75	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Most recently favourite, won by 1.75 len at Swan Hill 4yo+ Mdn-Sw June 7 over 1m on a soft track defeating Cheers To Us with 131lbs at $2.70. The start before that 5th of 14 at Mt Gambier 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Giddy Up Bankcheck carrying 128lbs at $7. Fitter and open to further improvement.
3	Comes off a 46 day let-up. Most recently 6th of 12 at Gawler 0-56 on May 13 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 5.5 len behind Mr Trafficanti with 131lbs at $6. Before that 2nd of 11 at this track 0-54 on May 1 over 7 ¾f, 1.0 len behind Everythingisautumn carrying 132lbs at $7.50. Great chance to atone. 3rd Pick 3 Lumber Dream Jockey: Jemma Gutte Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Jemma Gutte T: Garret Lynch	132	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Comes off a 46 day let-up. Most recently 6th of 12 at Gawler 0-56 on May 13 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 5.5 len behind Mr Trafficanti with 131lbs at $6. Before that 2nd of 11 at this track 0-54 on May 1 over 7 ¾f, 1.0 len behind Everythingisautumn carrying 132lbs at $7.50. Great chance to atone.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.