AU - Balaklava - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 3

17.2K

VIEW

Verdict

SASSY FOR SURE (3) sets the standard after a first-up BM64 win at Port Lincoln and a close BM68 third there last start, when sent out favourite and beaten a length by The Wirrulla Boy. She is race fit third-up, has already won at around 6f, and the 7lbs claim helps offset the higher weight. CUBAN WATERS (8) has been plain in two runs back, but she eases back from Saturday company, is a proven track-and-trip winner and reunites with Teagan Voorham, who has won twice on her. JE CITY (5) brings consistent Class 2 form, including a close fourth at Murray Bridge after racing keenly and being bumped, and his record at this track keeps him right in the argument. BONFIRE GIRL (4) has won her past two, most recently beating Sports Choice at Jamestown, though this is harder and barrier 13 makes the task more demanding.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Has returned in excellent order, winning a BM64 at Port Lincoln by three lengths before running third in a BM68 there, beaten a length after travelling well as favourite. She comes from country grade but drops from BM68 company, is third-up and has won at around this distance. Third-up, down in grade and well placed to take beating. 1st Pick 3 Sassy For Sure Jockey: Alyssa Webb Trainer: Trevor Montgomerie J: Alyssa Webb T: Trevor Montgomerie	126	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Has returned in excellent order, winning a BM64 at Port Lincoln by three lengths before running third in a BM68 there, beaten a length after travelling well as favourite. She comes from country grade but drops from BM68 company, is third-up and has won at around this distance. Third-up, down in grade and well placed to take beating.
8	Drops back from Saturday company after finishing seventh in a M BM62 at Morphettville, beaten just over four lengths when she covered ground and failed to quicken. Her previous run at this track over 5 ¼f was also only fair, but she is now third-up, has won at this track and distance, and Teagan Voorham has had two wins on her. Big chance. 2nd Pick 8 Cuban Waters Jockey: Teagan Voorham Trainer: G & N Searle & B Callanan J: Teagan Voorham T: G & N Searle & B Callanan	109	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Drops back from Saturday company after finishing seventh in a M BM62 at Morphettville, beaten just over four lengths when she covered ground and failed to quicken. Her previous run at this track over 5 ¼f was also only fair, but she is now third-up, has won at this track and distance, and Teagan Voorham has had two wins on her. Big chance.
5	Worked home for fourth in a Class 2 at Murray Bdge last start, beaten just under two lengths by Safe Bet after racing keenly and being bumped near the 3f. He had also placed in Class 2 company at Morphettville at long odds, so the recent form reads solidly. Track winner who looks a live winning chance. 3rd Pick 5 Je City Jockey: Felicity Atkinson Trainer: Kate Halliday J: Felicity Atkinson T: Kate Halliday	128	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Worked home for fourth in a Class 2 at Murray Bdge last start, beaten just under two lengths by Safe Bet after racing keenly and being bumped near the 3f. He had also placed in Class 2 company at Morphettville at long odds, so the recent form reads solidly. Track winner who looks a live winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.