AU - Balaklava - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

17.2K

VIEW

Verdict

BOLTED IN (1) did just that two back after a run of close finishes. Left himself with too much to do last start in town but warmed nicely late. If Murtagh can settle him a pair or two closer from the low draw, he will prove very hard to hold out. BLUE ISLES (11) was well supported late but was ultimately left with too much ground to bridge, closing off strongly late in the piece to grab second. Better with that run under her belt and will appreciate stepping out to the mile. Can go one better. ROUSING REFRAIN (3) boasts strong formlines and is well placed dropping back to this grade. Has been freshened with 32 days, keeping the legs ticking over with two hitouts in between. Must take seriously. LAST WAR (12) has got back to somewhere near his best and the mile looks perfect for him down in the weights. Don't dismiss easily.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	At the latest run 5th of 11 at Morphettville Bm64 on March 9 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Brown Nose Day Gal carrying 126lbs at $13. Before that settled well back, won by a head at this track 0-56 February 22 over 1m defeating Augusta Rock with 130lbs at $3.40. Better suited back to this grade. 1st Pick 1 Bolted In Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: Matthew Seyers J: Connor Murtagh T: Matthew Seyers	125	-	-	-	15%
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 at Morphettville Bm64 on March 9 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Brown Nose Day Gal carrying 126lbs at $13. Before that settled well back, won by a head at this track 0-56 February 22 over 1m defeating Augusta Rock with 130lbs at $3.40. Better suited back to this grade.
11	Second run back. First-up after three months 2nd of 9 at Oakbank F&M 0-56 on March 18 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Piwhane carrying 129lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up got back early 7th of 9 at Morphettville Parks F&M 0-64 on November 8 over 7f, 4 len behind Wild Winner carrying 117lbs at $101. Hard to beat. 2nd Pick 11 Blue Isles Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: Bill Smart J: Rochelle Milnes T: Bill Smart	112	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 2nd of 9 at Oakbank F&M 0-56 on March 18 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Piwhane carrying 129lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up got back early 7th of 9 at Morphettville Parks F&M 0-64 on November 8 over 7f, 4 len behind Wild Winner carrying 117lbs at $101. Hard to beat.
3	Returns from a 32-day let-up. Last start 9th of 13 at Morphettville Parks Bm62 on February 28 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Midlife Crisis carrying 126lbs at $5. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Strathalbyn Cl1 on February 18 over 1m, long-neck behind Oldpop with 132lbs at $3.30. Sure to go close. 3rd Pick 3 Rousing Refrain Jockey: Will Price Trainer: Jon O'connor J: Will Price T: Jon O'connor	90	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Returns from a 32-day let-up. Last start 9th of 13 at Morphettville Parks Bm62 on February 28 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Midlife Crisis carrying 126lbs at $5. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Strathalbyn Cl1 on February 18 over 1m, long-neck behind Oldpop with 132lbs at $3.30. Sure to go close.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.