AU - Balaklava - Race 6

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

17.9K

VIEW

Verdict

HARSH (7) has been well found in his last two and despite not delivering his been building nicely. At her top now and should be ready to put it all together out to this trip. THEODOR (2) was below his best last time when sent out favourite at Bordertown but there was form earlier that puts him right in the mix. Draws to land in the right spot and is already a winner over this course and distance for Rawiller. Bold showing anticipated. THE HIGHLANDER (5) made good ground from the back last start at Murray Bridge and should be further improved out this trip. Watch for him running on. BLACK SEA (1) was much better second-up and is another will appreciate stepping out further, though he will likely get a long way back from the draw. Keep an eye on him late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 11 at Strathalbyn Bm60 on April 29 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Mikki Tango with 123lbs at $3.80. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 at this track Cl1-Sw on April 15 over 1m, 2 len behind Fringes with 126lbs at $2.60. Ready to fire. 1st Pick 7 Harsh Jockey: Harry Grace Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly J: Harry Grace T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly	137	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 11 at Strathalbyn Bm60 on April 29 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Mikki Tango with 123lbs at $3.80. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 at this track Cl1-Sw on April 15 over 1m, 2 len behind Fringes with 126lbs at $2.60. Ready to fire.
2	Most recently 4th of 12 at Bordertown Bm58 on May 1 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Fiora Blue carrying 130lbs at $3.60. The race before that 10th of 12 at Morphettville 0-66 on April 11 over 1/16m, slow going 6 len behind Alainge carrying 123lbs at $41. Making headway. Rates highly on best form and should run well. 2nd Pick 2 Theodor Jockey: Campbell Rawiller Trainer: Travis Doudle J: Campbell Rawiller T: Travis Doudle	145	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Most recently 4th of 12 at Bordertown Bm58 on May 1 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Fiora Blue carrying 130lbs at $3.60. The race before that 10th of 12 at Morphettville 0-66 on April 11 over 1/16m, slow going 6 len behind Alainge carrying 123lbs at $41. Making headway. Rates highly on best form and should run well.
5	At the latest run 4th of 12 at Murray Bridge Cl1-Sw on May 6 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind United Legend carrying 126lbs at $21. The start before that ran last of 12 at Morphettville 0-66 on April 11 over 1/16m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Alainge carrying 121lbs at $201. Finds a nice race and can improve sharply. 3rd Pick 5 The Highlander Jockey: Todd Pannell Trainer: Grant Young J: Todd Pannell T: Grant Young	70	-	-	-	6%
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 12 at Murray Bridge Cl1-Sw on May 6 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind United Legend carrying 126lbs at $21. The start before that ran last of 12 at Morphettville 0-66 on April 11 over 1/16m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Alainge carrying 121lbs at $201. Finds a nice race and can improve sharply.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.