AU - Balaklava - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

16.3K

VIEW

Verdict

HIGH TOR (1) looks the one to beat here. Her recent form, including a win and a placing here at Balaklava, is hard to fault. She's up in the weights but she draws well and gets a handy claim. If she turns up in the same form, I don't know how they beat her. NIGHT CRUISER (8) is another last start winner and he will likely settle in front of High Tor in the run. He's open to some more improvement second-up and he looks the main danger, especially if he can get a cheap split or two. Todd Pannell goes onto FLAMBARD (2), who draws low and looks ready to peak. He's a top-three chance for sure. Others worth some thought for quaddies and exotics are BELLE INFERNO (4) and OBI (3).

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, won by 2.5 len at Morphettville Parks Bm58 October 10 over 6 ¼f defeating Testa Dexta with 122lbs at $2.50. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Bm56 on October 1 over 7f, neck behind Thebigsosso with 125lbs at $3.50. Looks the horse to beat. 1st Pick 1 High Tor Jockey: Caitlin Tootell Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Caitlin Tootell T: Garret Lynch	151	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, won by 2.5 len at Morphettville Parks Bm58 October 10 over 6 ¼f defeating Testa Dexta with 122lbs at $2.50. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Bm56 on October 1 over 7f, neck behind Thebigsosso with 125lbs at $3.50. Looks the horse to beat.
8	Second run back. First-up after three months raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.2 len at Gawler 0-56 October 6 over 7 ½f defeating Bywaters Road carrying 115lbs at $10. Previously second-up second last of 14 at this track 0-56 on June 18 over 6f, slow going 10 len behind Riched carrying 121lbs at $151. Has plenty of improvement in store so stick with him. 2nd Pick 8 Night Cruiser Jockey: Ben Price Trainer: Travis Doudle J: Ben Price T: Travis Doudle	113	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.2 len at Gawler 0-56 October 6 over 7 ½f defeating Bywaters Road carrying 115lbs at $10. Previously second-up second last of 14 at this track 0-56 on June 18 over 6f, slow going 10 len behind Riched carrying 121lbs at $151. Has plenty of improvement in store so stick with him.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 9th of 13 at Morphettville Parks 4yo+ Bm64 on September 6 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Alainge with 125lbs at $21. Second-up came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Bm56 on October 1 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Thebigsosso carrying 132lbs at $4.20. Fitter now and making headway. Ready to win. 3rd Pick 2 Flambard Jockey: Todd Pannell Trainer: Byron Cozamanis J: Todd Pannell T: Byron Cozamanis	134	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 9th of 13 at Morphettville Parks 4yo+ Bm64 on September 6 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Alainge with 125lbs at $21. Second-up came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Bm56 on October 1 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Thebigsosso carrying 132lbs at $4.20. Fitter now and making headway. Ready to win.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.