AU - Balaklava - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 3

17.2K

VIEW

Verdict

FLYING ACE (2) earns top billing after a one-length second at Murray Bridge when sent out favourite. He has been building through the campaign and looks ready to win. DAZELLES (4) is the clear danger, eased from Saturday company after finishing sixth in a M BM62 at Morphettville and bringing the memory of a dominant Penola BM54 win where she beat Casino Showgirl by just over four lengths. EXONUMIA (5) has to prove the strength of a picnic Class 3 win, but he did put nearly six lengths on Spicy Ambition and carries useful distance and jockey-horse credentials. PAGANINI (1) was last in a BM62 at Morphettville, though he comes back from Saturday company, has placed four times from 10 tries around 7f and can rebound into the minor money if the softer assignment draws out his better form.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Went close at Murray Bdge last start when second to Shalhavmusik, beaten a length after being sent out favourite. That followed a sound fifth at Strathalbyn where he was near the top of betting but raced keenly through the middle stages. Fourth-up profile is strong and he looks ready to win. 1st Pick 2 Flying Ace Jockey: Taylor Johnstone Trainer: Luke O'connor J: Taylor Johnstone T: Luke O'connor	105	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Went close at Murray Bdge last start when second to Shalhavmusik, beaten a length after being sent out favourite. That followed a sound fifth at Strathalbyn where he was near the top of betting but raced keenly through the middle stages. Fourth-up profile is strong and he looks ready to win.
4	Eased from Saturday company after finishing sixth in a M BM62 over 6f at Morphettville, beaten four lengths after working home evenly without an obvious excuse. Her Penola win start prior was far sharper, beating Casino Showgirl by just over four lengths in a BM54 after taking control before the turn. Proven around 7f and rates a strong danger. 2nd Pick 4 Dazelles Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: Hazel Fertier J: Connor Murtagh T: Hazel Fertier	137	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Eased from Saturday company after finishing sixth in a M BM62 over 6f at Morphettville, beaten four lengths after working home evenly without an obvious excuse. Her Penola win start prior was far sharper, beating Casino Showgirl by just over four lengths in a BM54 after taking control before the turn. Proven around 7f and rates a strong danger.
5	Comes off a dominant Class 3 win at Wentworth, putting just under six lengths on Spicy Ambition as an odds-on favourite. This is harder company off a picnic meeting, but he had already been close enough in a BM52 at Halidon when fourth despite beginning only fairly and racing wide. Distance record and 7lbs claim keep him right in it. 3rd Pick 5 Exonumia Jockey: Jemma Gutte Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Jemma Gutte T: Garret Lynch	122	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Comes off a dominant Class 3 win at Wentworth, putting just under six lengths on Spicy Ambition as an odds-on favourite. This is harder company off a picnic meeting, but he had already been close enough in a BM52 at Halidon when fourth despite beginning only fairly and racing wide. Distance record and 7lbs claim keep him right in it.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.