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5:30 AM

AU - Balaklava - Race 3

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6.5f
Class 1
Turf
GOOD 3
17.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GRAND MILLESIME (5) gets the nod after breaking through at Murray Bridge, where she beat Ludina by a head in a Mdn despite covering ground and being tightened early. She was second at Halidon the start prior and her good track record gives the win further substance, while Jason Holder is a strong booking at this venue. FOUR ON THE FLOOR (1) is the main danger dropping out of Saturday company after a G BM64 sixth at Morphettville behind Artistic Genius, and his Gawler third two back reads well for this. MAPLEWAY (8) is more a place profile, but his first-up Gawler run was only just over two lengths away and the winning rider returns with a 3lbs claim. HAMPTON BELLE (7) improved to fourth at Mildura last week and is fitter third-up with weight relief. Can feature.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Grand Millesime silk

Comes off a deserved Murray Bdge Mdn win, beating Ludina by a head after covering ground and overcoming some early tightening. That followed a Halidon second in an FM Mdn, so her form has been trending the right way. Drawn out, but she looks the horse to beat.

1st Pick
5

Grand Millesime

Jockey: Jason Holder

Trainer: Paula Trenwith

J: Jason Holder

T: Paula Trenwith

168---29%5/2

Analysis

Comes off a deserved Murray Bdge Mdn win, beating Ludina by a head after covering ground and overcoming some early tightening. That followed a Halidon second in an FM Mdn, so her form has been trending the right way. Drawn out, but she looks the horse to beat.

1
Four On The Floor silk

Drops out of Saturday company after finishing sixth in a G BM64 at Morphettville, beaten just over six lengths by Artistic Genius after racing prominently and still picking up into the straight. His Gawler third the start prior, beaten just under two lengths by Silvaloa, was a sound reference. The 6 ½f record is the query, but he rates strongly.

2nd Pick
1

Four On The Floor

Jockey: Ben Price

Trainer: Gary Boyce

J: Ben Price

T: Gary Boyce

150---25%3/1

Analysis

Drops out of Saturday company after finishing sixth in a G BM64 at Morphettville, beaten just over six lengths by Artistic Genius after racing prominently and still picking up into the straight. His Gawler third the start prior, beaten just under two lengths by Silvaloa, was a sound reference. The 6 ½f record is the query, but he rates strongly.

8
Mapleway silk

Resumed with a seventh at Gawler, beaten just over two lengths, after looming at the turn but failing to finish it off. That leaves a winning query, especially given he is unplaced from seven starts in the past 12 months. The positive is Felicity Atkinson, who has won on him before, claiming 3lbs. More place than win at this stage.

3rd Pick
8

Mapleway

Jockey: Felicity Atkinson

Trainer: Alexander Justice

J: Felicity Atkinson

T: Alexander Justice

78---20%4/1

Analysis

Resumed with a seventh at Gawler, beaten just over two lengths, after looming at the turn but failing to finish it off. That leaves a winning query, especially given he is unplaced from seven starts in the past 12 months. The positive is Felicity Atkinson, who has won on him before, claiming 3lbs. More place than win at this stage.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.