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4:55 AM

AU - Balaklava - Race 2

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5.2f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 3
17.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MEAN MAZZLE (4) has the strongest exposed profile after placing two starts back at Morphettville and then finishing fifth there in Saturday company when near the top of betting. He is third-up, has placed at this distance and track, and the easier meeting level gives him a good chance to break through. DASHING RED STAR (1) is the main danger if the first-time blinkers sharpen him, as his debut third at Gawler reads well and last start at this track was tougher after he was forced wide and raced wide throughout. BAILAR (12) brings no race experience but has won a Murray Bridge trial, draws barrier 2 and gets Jason Holder, the top-ranked jockey for wins at this track. SOCIAL DANCER (9) has a long maiden record, yet five placings from ten tries around this distance and a 7lbs claim keep her in the place mix if she improves second-up.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Mean Mazzle silk

Comes back from Saturday company after finishing fifth at Morphettville, beaten five and a half lengths, when he jumped awkwardly and did not finish off after settling behind the leaders. The run prior was a sound third there from well back despite interference in the straight. Drawn well and looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
4

Mean Mazzle

Jockey: Teagan Voorham

Trainer: Dan Shepherd

J: Teagan Voorham

T: Dan Shepherd

128---37%7/4

Analysis

Comes back from Saturday company after finishing fifth at Morphettville, beaten five and a half lengths, when he jumped awkwardly and did not finish off after settling behind the leaders. The run prior was a sound third there from well back despite interference in the straight. Drawn well and looks the one to beat.

1
Dashing Red Star silk

Had excuses at this track last start when forced wide on jumping and then left wide throughout before finishing seventh, beaten just under nine lengths, after being near the top of an open market. His debut third at Gawler, beaten two and a half lengths after beginning slowly, gives him a better form reference. First-time blinkers and race fitness make him a strong winning threat.

2nd Pick
1

Dashing Red Star

Jockey: Tala Hutchinson

Trainer: Chris Harrison

J: Tala Hutchinson

T: Chris Harrison

126---5%20/1

Analysis

Had excuses at this track last start when forced wide on jumping and then left wide throughout before finishing seventh, beaten just under nine lengths, after being near the top of an open market. His debut third at Gawler, beaten two and a half lengths after beginning slowly, gives him a better form reference. First-time blinkers and race fitness make him a strong winning threat.

12
Bailar silk

Debuts with a stronger trial profile than most of the newcomers, having won a Murray Bdge trial after earlier trial efforts at Morphettville Parks and Morphettville. Barrier 2 gives her a favourable starting point, and Jason Holder is the top-ranked jockey for wins at this track. Debut risk is there, but the profile is strong.

3rd Pick
12

Bailar

Jockey: Jason Holder

Trainer: Peter & Belinda Blanch

J: Jason Holder

T: Peter & Belinda Blanch

75---25%3/1

Analysis

Debuts with a stronger trial profile than most of the newcomers, having won a Murray Bdge trial after earlier trial efforts at Morphettville Parks and Morphettville. Barrier 2 gives her a favourable starting point, and Jason Holder is the top-ranked jockey for wins at this track. Debut risk is there, but the profile is strong.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.