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4:20 AM

AU - Balaklava - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
8f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 3
17.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LUDINA (6) sets the standard after resuming with a narrow second at Murray Bridge, beaten a head by Grand Millesime after travelling well, covering ground and finishing strongly. Her previous run was in Class 1 company over 1 ¼m, so returning to a Mdn with that fresh run under her gives her the clearest winning profile. BOOMA BAY (1) is the main danger after a better fourth at Gawler, where he was in the right spot but could not quite finish it off, he has placed at around 1m and looks close enough if he sustains his run. FABULOUS ONE (5) comes off a beaten-favourite fourth at Mildura and now faces harder company, but she is lightly raced and has been edging forward this campaign. Include. TASSORO (4) has the inside draw and blinkers come off, though he was safely held behind Ludina at Murray Bridge last time and has to answer the 1m question. Worth consideration.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Ludina silk

Resumed with a strong Murray Bdge second, beaten a head by Grand Millesime after travelling well, covering ground and finishing powerfully. She had earlier tackled Class 1 company over 1 ¼m when unable to finish off on soft ground, so returning to a Mdn second-up is a much kinder set-up. Back in a maiden second-up, she looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
6

Ludina

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: Hazel Fertier

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Hazel Fertier

309---75%1/3

Analysis

Resumed with a strong Murray Bdge second, beaten a head by Grand Millesime after travelling well, covering ground and finishing powerfully. She had earlier tackled Class 1 company over 1 ¼m when unable to finish off on soft ground, so returning to a Mdn second-up is a much kinder set-up. Back in a maiden second-up, she looks the one to beat.

1
Booma Bay silk

Worked into a handy position at Gawler last start and finished fourth, beaten just under four lengths by Mr Ribtickler after starting at big odds. His previous Murray Bdge run on soft ground was less convincing, but he did make some late ground from the rear. The trip is the query, but he gets his chance in a modest maiden.

2nd Pick
1

Booma Bay

Jockey: Teagan Voorham

Trainer: Robert Atkinson

J: Teagan Voorham

T: Robert Atkinson

79---8%13/1

Analysis

Worked into a handy position at Gawler last start and finished fourth, beaten just under four lengths by Mr Ribtickler after starting at big odds. His previous Murray Bdge run on soft ground was less convincing, but he did make some late ground from the rear. The trip is the query, but he gets his chance in a modest maiden.

5
Fabulous One silk

Comes through a Mildura picnic meeting where she was favourite and finished fourth in a six-horse field, beaten four and a half lengths by Gamadale Possum. That is harder company now, though her Tamworth run prior had merit when she made ground late over 5f. Lightly raced and improving, but the first 1m attempt is the test.

3rd Pick
5

Fabulous One

Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe

Trainer: Raharna Mcdonald

J: Stacey Metcalfe

T: Raharna Mcdonald

74---10%9/1

Analysis

Comes through a Mildura picnic meeting where she was favourite and finished fourth in a six-horse field, beaten four and a half lengths by Gamadale Possum. That is harder company now, though her Tamworth run prior had merit when she made ground late over 5f. Lightly raced and improving, but the first 1m attempt is the test.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.