AU - Wodonga - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

10.2f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

22.7K

VIEW

Verdict

Looks a lovely race for ASHINA (6) who finds a very winnable race here. Two runs back have been good in fourth, not beaten far in a tougher race at Geelong second up over 1 ¹/16m. Ready to fire now up in trip and should really be taking care of these. SOBINE (5) is yet to break through in three runs. Just fair behind Ashina at Geelong but the fresh run was encouraging and he should improve. CHURCHILLENA (7) didn't do a lot on debut two weeks ago, finishing 8 lengths from the winner in ninth over 1m at Bairnsdale. Should improve a fair bit off that against a few exposed ones. ELEGANT FORCE (8) was below her best last time, finishing sixth and beaten 8 lengths over 1 ?m at Hamilton. Drawn low and can figure in the money.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic on July 14 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Outsidethesquare with 128lbs at $4. Second-up 4th of 13 at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 3.5 len behind Frank Whisper carrying 127lbs at $9. Finds a nice race third up. 1st Pick 6 Ashina Jockey: Zac Spain Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Zac Spain T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	138	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic on July 14 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Outsidethesquare with 128lbs at $4. Second-up 4th of 13 at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 3.5 len behind Frank Whisper carrying 127lbs at $9. Finds a nice race third up.
5	Third-up today. First-up got back early 6th of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic on July 20 over 1m, 5 len behind Oshima with 131lbs at $13. Second run from a spell 9th of 13 at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 9 len behind Frank Whisper with 125lbs at $14. Can improve in this. 2nd Pick 5 Sobine Jockey: Lachlan King Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Lachlan King T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	95	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up got back early 6th of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic on July 20 over 1m, 5 len behind Oshima with 131lbs at $13. Second run from a spell 9th of 13 at Geelong on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 9 len behind Frank Whisper with 125lbs at $14. Can improve in this.
7	At debut, 9th of 12 at Bairnsdale on August 4 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind Venus Shock with 127lbs at $8. Can improve sharply. 3rd Pick 7 Churchillena Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Teo Nugent T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	106	-	-	-	10%	Scratched
Analysis At debut, 9th of 12 at Bairnsdale on August 4 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind Venus Shock with 127lbs at $8. Can improve sharply.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.