AU - Warrnambool - Race 6

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

24.9K

VIEW

Verdict

LONSTAR (5) hit the line strongly from well back to finish second over 5f at Echuca last time out as the favourite. He will rise slightly in class here, but the 7lbs weight drop will be a big help, so follow your money. NICEREINE (1) has been extremely consistent this prep with 3 straight minor placings, including a strong second at Morphettville Parks over 5f 16 days ago in a tougher class. John Allen picking up the ride is a strong lead, and he can go one better in this. BECAUSEYOU'RE MINE (6) hasn't raced since finishing sixth at Donald in May when finishing sixth as the favourite. He resumes on his home course, and if the track conditions are not too bad, he can give this a shake. Check the market moves. COOL AS ICE (4) was in contention turning for home before fading into sixth at Bendigo after racing greenly under pressure in the run to the line. She is at her peak fitness now and can figure in the top 3. BIFROST (3) has been freshened up and is not without some claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Last start 2nd of 7 in a Bm56 at Echuca on August 30 over 5f, slow going 1.0 len behind Astari with 136lbs at $2.45. Before that 6th of 10 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 14 over 6f, in the wet, 2.25 len behind Fly By Light carrying 130lbs at $10. Rates highly and is sure play a major role. 1st Pick 5 Lonstar Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Beau Mertens T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	176	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Last start 2nd of 7 in a Bm56 at Echuca on August 30 over 5f, slow going 1.0 len behind Astari with 136lbs at $2.45. Before that 6th of 10 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 14 over 6f, in the wet, 2.25 len behind Fly By Light carrying 130lbs at $10. Rates highly and is sure play a major role.
1	Racing well recently. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 8 in a 0-66 at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Grand Host with 129lbs at $2.90. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 7 in a Bm66 at Bendigo on August 12 over 5f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Fehmarn with 128lbs at $2.60. Working up to a win. Continues to impress and gets his chance to break through. 2nd Pick 1 Nicereine Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Peter Gelagotis J: John Allen T: Peter Gelagotis	160	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 8 in a 0-66 at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Grand Host with 129lbs at $2.90. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 7 in a Bm66 at Bendigo on August 12 over 5f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Fehmarn with 128lbs at $2.60. Working up to a win. Continues to impress and gets his chance to break through.
6	Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign sixth of 12 at Donald 0 - 56 May 2 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Over Shady with 126lbs at $4. When resuming last campaign ran last of 8 at Sale Bm66 Hcp October 26 over 5f, on rain affected going, 14 len behind Imminance with 128lbs at $12. Has claims if presented on song. 3rd Pick 6 Becauseyou're Mine Jockey: Declan Bates Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Declan Bates T: Shane Jackson	81	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign sixth of 12 at Donald 0 - 56 May 2 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Over Shady with 126lbs at $4. When resuming last campaign ran last of 8 at Sale Bm66 Hcp October 26 over 5f, on rain affected going, 14 len behind Imminance with 128lbs at $12. Has claims if presented on song.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.