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2:40 AM

AU - Warrnambool - Race 3

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
15.9f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 8
36.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

The third of the maiden hurdles, and this one is also worth 50K. ARDAKAN (1) won a jumping trial prior to finishing runner-up as the favourite in his first race day start in this role. He has had a gear change, and with that run under his belt, he can go one better here. UNTETHERED (9) would have learned a lot from his first run in this role, which was 4 weeks ago at Hamilton, and he can be a quick improver here. Each-way. FENGARADA (2) did a good job fresh up when making his hurdle debut, and finishing fourth was a brave effort. With some better luck during the run this time, he can figure in the top 3. THE CLAIMANT (8) is trained on the track, and he has had plenty of schooling experience, including a couple of trials in this role last month. A big run is on the cards. HIGH HEELED (10) was a game fourth on debut in this role at Hamilton 4 weeks ago, and she would have been set for this assignment on her home track. Include in all top 4 combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Ardakan silk

Last run finished second of 10 starters at Terang Mdn Hdle-Sw on April 19 over 2m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind The Storyteller carrying 153lbs at $2.90. The run before finished 11th of 12 starters at Flemington in the LR Roy Higgins on March 28 over 1m, on slow going 12 len behind Whisky On The Hill with 123lbs at $41. Quality flat performer prior to the transition to jumping.

1st Pick
1

Ardakan

Jockey: Steven Pateman

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Steven Pateman

T: Ciaron Maher

210---43%11/8

Analysis

Last run finished second of 10 starters at Terang Mdn Hdle-Sw on April 19 over 2m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind The Storyteller carrying 153lbs at $2.90. The run before finished 11th of 12 starters at Flemington in the LR Roy Higgins on March 28 over 1m, on slow going 12 len behind Whisky On The Hill with 123lbs at $41. Quality flat performer prior to the transition to jumping.

9
Untethered silk

Last start raced on the pace prior to fading finished fifth of 10 starters at Hamilton Mdn Hdle-Sw on April 7 over 2m, slow track, 5.5 len behind Eye For An Eye with 153lbs at $5.50. The run before raced on the pace then finished second of 9 runners at Albury Bm66 on March 20 over 1 ½m, slow track, 0.5 len behind Lightning Flash carrying 134lbs at $4. Will be hard to beat with that last run under the belt.

2nd Pick
9

Untethered

Jockey: Will Gordon

Trainer: Patrick Kearney

J: Will Gordon

T: Patrick Kearney

155---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start raced on the pace prior to fading finished fifth of 10 starters at Hamilton Mdn Hdle-Sw on April 7 over 2m, slow track, 5.5 len behind Eye For An Eye with 153lbs at $5.50. The run before raced on the pace then finished second of 9 runners at Albury Bm66 on March 20 over 1 ½m, slow track, 0.5 len behind Lightning Flash carrying 134lbs at $4. Will be hard to beat with that last run under the belt.

2
Fengarada silk

Second-up today. First-up after four months made ground from midfield, finished fourth of 10 starters at Terang Mdn Hdle-Sw on April 19 over 2m, on rain affected going, 11 len behind The Storyteller carrying 153lbs at $21. Previously second-up ran last at Hamilton Hton Cup on October 11 over 1m, slow track, 26 len behind Navy King carrying 126lbs at $21. Is worth including at odds.

3rd Pick
2

Fengarada

Jockey: Mr Luca Remondet

Trainer: John Leek Jr

J: Mr Luca Remondet

T: John Leek Jr

122---8%12/1

Analysis

Second-up today. First-up after four months made ground from midfield, finished fourth of 10 starters at Terang Mdn Hdle-Sw on April 19 over 2m, on rain affected going, 11 len behind The Storyteller carrying 153lbs at $21. Previously second-up ran last at Hamilton Hton Cup on October 11 over 1m, slow track, 26 len behind Navy King carrying 126lbs at $21. Is worth including at odds.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.