AU - Warrnambool - Race 2

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

24.4K

VIEW

Verdict

RACEY CASEY (5) found the opposition too classy in the $200k Vobis Gold Star over this distance at Cranbourne last start. Form in similar Benchmark races to this before that run was sound. Has a race fitness edge on some key rivals and looks the testing material. IL CIELO (1) is back after a 24-week spell. Produced a string of solid performances last prep, primarily at BM56 level. Yet to place in two first-up runs but 7f is the preferred trip. Nicely drawn and should give a good account. Handy mare TILL QUEEN (3) returns from a 20-week spell. Scratched late on Monday at Ballarat due to a wet track. Not a noted first-up performer but she has been in the placings in a couple of recent jump-outs so she looks quite forward. Must be included. SEETHRU (2) also resumes. Kicked off last prep with a dominant win in a BM56 over this trip at Werribee. Expect him to be wound up for this. FULLY JUSTIFIED (4) was too bad to be true here last time. Best form puts him in contention.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Last start ran second last in a small field in a Vobis Gold Star at Cranbourne on October 23 over 7f, 6 len behind Run Harry Run with 121lbs at $81. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 in a Bm62 at Ballarat on October 9 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Strong Tempo with 127lbs at $7.50. Will prove very tough to beat back in this company. 1st Pick 5 Racey Casey Jockey: Dean Yendall Trainer: Jamie Edwards J: Dean Yendall T: Jamie Edwards	269	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Last start ran second last in a small field in a Vobis Gold Star at Cranbourne on October 23 over 7f, 6 len behind Run Harry Run with 121lbs at $81. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 in a Bm62 at Ballarat on October 9 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Strong Tempo with 127lbs at $7.50. Will prove very tough to beat back in this company.
1	Resumes. Finished off last preparation eighth of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 May 24 over 7 ½f, 8 len behind Terrortorian carrying 132lbs at $5.50. Previously first up, fifth of 10 at Yarra Valley Bm56 December 29 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Superset carrying 125lbs at $21. Will be better for the run but this is his pet distance so cannot be underestimated. 2nd Pick 1 Il Cielo Jockey: Zac Moore Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Zac Moore T: Ciaron Maher	94	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Resumes. Finished off last preparation eighth of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 May 24 over 7 ½f, 8 len behind Terrortorian carrying 132lbs at $5.50. Previously first up, fifth of 10 at Yarra Valley Bm56 December 29 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Superset carrying 125lbs at $21. Will be better for the run but this is his pet distance so cannot be underestimated.
3	Resuming after a break of five months. Finished off last campaign second last in a small field at Caulfield Heath 3yo F Bm70 June 17 over 7 ½f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Loft Vega carrying 130lbs at $6. First up last campaign fifth of 11 at Seymour Mdn-Sw February 3 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Azzacool carrying 126lbs at $13. Might be better off following this outing but is a track and distance winner from one attempt. 3rd Pick 3 Till Queen Jockey: Holly Durnan Trainer: Archie Alexander J: Holly Durnan T: Archie Alexander	121	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Resuming after a break of five months. Finished off last campaign second last in a small field at Caulfield Heath 3yo F Bm70 June 17 over 7 ½f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Loft Vega carrying 130lbs at $6. First up last campaign fifth of 11 at Seymour Mdn-Sw February 3 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Azzacool carrying 126lbs at $13. Might be better off following this outing but is a track and distance winner from one attempt.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.