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5:41 AM

AU - Warracknabeal - Race 5

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
9.9f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
15.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FOREVER JEUNE (7) was in the money two starts back at Ballarat Synthetic then wound up from the back last time when eighth, beaten 4.5 lengths, at Ballarat Synthetic over 7 ½f. First try at the trip and should be tough to stop. MICKIO (2) travelled in a rearwards position then picked up fairly well in the straight and finished 3.5 lengths away in fourth last time out over 1m at Echuca three weeks ago. Won only try here and despite the wide draw is worth following up. DURHAM (3) scored two runs back then was well in commission last time and wound up late over 1 ¼m at Murray Bridge. Finds a nice race and can bounce back. MANGIONE (4) was unplaced two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 1 ¼m at Murtoa, beaten 2.5 lengths into fifth. Hard to beat on his best form. AHAB (1) is back to the turf but in great form and among the main chances.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Forever Jeune silk

At the latest run eased back early on 8th of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic on July 27 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Isdell carrying 130lbs at $7. The race before that 3rd of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic on July 2 over 7 ½f, 1.3 len behind Brullen with 130lbs at $14. Has been winding up strongly and looks tough to stop.

1st Pick
7

Forever Jeune

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Tom Dabernig

J: Linda Meech

T: Tom Dabernig

139---10%9/1

Analysis

At the latest run eased back early on 8th of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic on July 27 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Isdell carrying 130lbs at $7. The race before that 3rd of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic on July 2 over 7 ½f, 1.3 len behind Brullen with 130lbs at $14. Has been winding up strongly and looks tough to stop.

2
Mickio silk

Last start 4th of 8 at Echuca on July 24 over 1m, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Kiss My Rock with 132lbs at $3.80. The start before that 8th of 13 at Bendigo on June 13 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Dark Simba with 119lbs at $20. Nice effort last time. Won only try here and despite the wide draw is worth following up.

2nd Pick
2

Mickio

Jockey: Brad Rawiller

Trainer: Matthew Enright

J: Brad Rawiller

T: Matthew Enright

115---9%11/1

Analysis

Last start 4th of 8 at Echuca on July 24 over 1m, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Kiss My Rock with 132lbs at $3.80. The start before that 8th of 13 at Bendigo on June 13 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Dark Simba with 119lbs at $20. Nice effort last time. Won only try here and despite the wide draw is worth following up.

3
Durham silk

Last start 6th of 14 at Murray Bridge on August 5 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Contrary carrying 123lbs at $4. The race before that favourite, won by a head at Murray Bridge on July 17 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Navy Rok carrying 120lbs at $6.50. Ran on strongly last time and looks a leading chance here.

3rd Pick
3

Durham

Jockey: Cian Macredmond

Trainer: Paul Preusker

J: Cian Macredmond

T: Paul Preusker

96---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start 6th of 14 at Murray Bridge on August 5 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Contrary carrying 123lbs at $4. The race before that favourite, won by a head at Murray Bridge on July 17 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Navy Rok carrying 120lbs at $6.50. Ran on strongly last time and looks a leading chance here.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.