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5:01 AM

AU - Warracknabeal - Race 4

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
15.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CHARLECOTE MILL (9) is fitter for three run form a let-up and last time put the writing on the wall, storming home to finish runner-up behind Vision Thing. No better off at the weights, but has the senior rider and looks tough to stop again. VISION THING (10) raced on pace and was a dominant winner last time, with 2.5 lengths on Charlecote Mill. Meets the runner-up a fraction better and can give a sight again. BRUZANI (1) was a winner three back then placed last two. Racing well and expected to be very competitive. ASTRODEAN (5) was poor last time in town in Adelaide but will find this easier and can make amends. ON THE MAP (11) has the blinkers added and shapes as one of the key chances.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Charlecote Mill silk

At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Hamilton on August 1 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Vision Thing with 120lbs at $5. Before that 7th of 12 at Echuca on July 24 over 7f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Square Deal carrying 121lbs at $9. Can improve again. Ran on well last time and looks hard to hold out again.

1st Pick
9

Charlecote Mill

Jockey: Will Gordon

Trainer: Paul Koumis

J: Will Gordon

T: Paul Koumis

114---10%9/1

Analysis

At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Hamilton on August 1 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Vision Thing with 120lbs at $5. Before that 7th of 12 at Echuca on July 24 over 7f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Square Deal carrying 121lbs at $9. Can improve again. Ran on well last time and looks hard to hold out again.

10
Vision Thing silk

Recent form sound. Last start favourite, won by 2.5 len at Hamilton on August 1 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Charlecote Mill carrying 119lbs at $3.80. The start before that 4th of 9 at Wangaratta on July 6 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 6 len behind Sir Basil with 125lbs at $8.50. Easy winner this class last time and can go on with it.

2nd Pick
10

Vision Thing

Jockey: Melissa Julius

Trainer: Renee Pola

J: Melissa Julius

T: Renee Pola

104---14%13/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start favourite, won by 2.5 len at Hamilton on August 1 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Charlecote Mill carrying 119lbs at $3.80. The start before that 4th of 9 at Wangaratta on July 6 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 6 len behind Sir Basil with 125lbs at $8.50. Easy winner this class last time and can go on with it.

1
Bruzani silk

Form hard to fault. Last start took up a position near the tail 2nd of 10 at Hamilton on August 1 over 7f, on heavy track, nose behind Unamerican carrying 131lbs at $4.20. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Mt Gambier on July 12 over 7 ¾f, in the wet, 2 len behind Robert The Puss carrying 132lbs at $5. Racing well and expected to be very competitive.

3rd Pick
1

Bruzani

Jockey: Jack Hill

Trainer: Peter Chow

J: Jack Hill

T: Peter Chow

132---13%7/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start took up a position near the tail 2nd of 10 at Hamilton on August 1 over 7f, on heavy track, nose behind Unamerican carrying 131lbs at $4.20. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Mt Gambier on July 12 over 7 ¾f, in the wet, 2 len behind Robert The Puss carrying 132lbs at $5. Racing well and expected to be very competitive.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.