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5:00 AM

AU - Wangaratta - Race 7

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
7.9f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
15.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

POSITIVO (9) gets the nod after going under by a nose at Bendigo, where he was near the top of betting and was pipped right on the post after covering ground. His previous Tatura run also had merit, and the Brad Rawiller association is a solid positive with two wins and four placings from nine starts together. THE QUIET IMMORTAL (1) is the reliable danger, coming through a BM62 third at the Bool and already proven at this distance with a win and three placings from four tries, his consistency his best asset. Hard to beat again. GIVE SOME LIP (13) was beaten as favourite first-up at Kilmore but made ground from the back and gets weight relief, while LEFT HOOK (12) drops from BM62 grade and has enough distance and 12-month form to rebound from two plain Cranbourne and Sale efforts.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Positivo silk

Went desperately close at Bendigo last start, beaten a nose after settling back, covering ground and being pipped on the line. His Tatura fifth before that was better than the margin, as he charged home from the rear and caught the eye. Only has to hold his form to go awfully close.

1st Pick
9

Positivo

Jockey: Brad Rawiller

Trainer: Saab Hasan

J: Brad Rawiller

T: Saab Hasan

128---23%7/2

Analysis

Went desperately close at Bendigo last start, beaten a nose after settling back, covering ground and being pipped on the line. His Tatura fifth before that was better than the margin, as he charged home from the rear and caught the eye. Only has to hold his form to go awfully close.

1
The Quiet Immortal silk

Fought on well for third in a BM62 over 7f at the Bool, beaten two lengths after travelling into it like a winning hope. That followed a narrow Echuca win when favourite, beating Catalona on soft ground. Proven at the trip and well placed to make a strong bid.

2nd Pick
1

The Quiet Immortal

Jockey: Alice Kennedy

Trainer: Ben Brisbourne

J: Alice Kennedy

T: Ben Brisbourne

136---23%7/2

Analysis

Fought on well for third in a BM62 over 7f at the Bool, beaten two lengths after travelling into it like a winning hope. That followed a narrow Echuca win when favourite, beating Catalona on soft ground. Proven at the trip and well placed to make a strong bid.

13
Give Some Lip silk

Made solid inroads from the back when sixth in a BM52 at Kilmore first-up, beaten three and a half lengths as a well-supported favourite after beginning slowly. He was narrowly beaten on the Ballarat Synthetic before the break, finishing third by half a length in a BM56. Strong chance if he begins cleanly, look for him down the outside.

3rd Pick
13

Give Some Lip

Jockey: Damien Thornton

Trainer: Reece Goodwin

J: Damien Thornton

T: Reece Goodwin

101---10%10/1

Analysis

Made solid inroads from the back when sixth in a BM52 at Kilmore first-up, beaten three and a half lengths as a well-supported favourite after beginning slowly. He was narrowly beaten on the Ballarat Synthetic before the break, finishing third by half a length in a BM56. Strong chance if he begins cleanly, look for him down the outside.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.