AU - Wangaratta - Race 3

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

21.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Big field, loads of win chances, and also very wary of the well bred first starter Anglesea. LATIN LIGHTS (14) made debut in a richer maiden and spotted a start turning but kept coming and finished off really well. Has upside and looks tough to stop here. HARRY DEVIL (5) drifted well back and failed to finish it off last start when fifth, beaten 4.5 lengths, over 7 ½f at Caulfield Heath. Freshened for this and drawn for a soft run on the inside. THE DEFENDER (7) was close to the winner last time over seven furlongs and is another who will finish on hard over the shorter trip. Hard to follow but best figures stack up. LIL ORLOV (8) is a locally trained galloper who has improved at each of three runs to date, placing the last two. Drawn a little better this time and rates a leading player at home.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
14	Was at big odds at debut, from last on the turn 6th of 9 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 5 over 6f, 3 len behind Talladega Girl with 123lbs at $26. Kept coming on debut and looks tough to stop here. 1st Pick 14 Latin Lights Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell J: Jett Stanley T: Lloyd Kennewell	139	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Was at big odds at debut, from last on the turn 6th of 9 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 5 over 6f, 3 len behind Talladega Girl with 123lbs at $26. Kept coming on debut and looks tough to stop here.
16	Having third race start. At debut, 4th of 7 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on October 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Ornithology carrying 126lbs at $8. Second-up 6th of 10 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Chokuto carrying 128lbs at $11. Not far away last time and will be finishing hard this sharper trip. 2nd Pick 16 Texture Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Non Runner T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	150	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Having third race start. At debut, 4th of 7 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on October 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Ornithology carrying 126lbs at $8. Second-up 6th of 10 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Chokuto carrying 128lbs at $11. Not far away last time and will be finishing hard this sharper trip.
5	Returns from a 33-day let-up. Most recently second last in a small field at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on November 19 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Cooly with 127lbs at $26. The race before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Hot Blue with 131lbs at $7. This easier and drawn to get the gun run off the inside. 3rd Pick 5 Harry Devil Jockey: John Keating Trainer: Saab Hasan J: John Keating T: Saab Hasan	78	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Returns from a 33-day let-up. Most recently second last in a small field at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on November 19 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Cooly with 127lbs at $26. The race before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Hot Blue with 131lbs at $7. This easier and drawn to get the gun run off the inside.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

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