AU - Swan Hill - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

18.8K

VIEW

Verdict

BREAK THE TABOO (12) narrowly on top. She's racing consistently, well backed into third two starts ago at Seymour before just battling on very heavy going at Hamilton. Happy to forgive that one, especially given the market support, and she can bounce back quickly. COSMIC CHARGER (10) was okay on resumption at Pakenham Synthetic when working home for a narrow fifth. Expect improvement off that and look for him flashing late. Wary of the lightly raced CALL ME MAURA (11) who won her maiden well at Ballarat Synthetic two back before struggling behind a potential star in town last time. This should suit nicely, she just draws awfully. PACIFIC JEWEL (13) ran well fresh at Mildura in a BM56 and should strip fitter with each-way claims. SHOOTER MCGAVIN (3) is going okay, he switches to turf now which is interesting but he's good enough on his day.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Form hard to fault. Most recently ran second last in a small field at Hamilton Bm56 on July 12 over 6f, in the wet, 10 len behind Port Louis with 154lbs at $1.85. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on May 21 over 7f, slow going 2.5 len behind Thunder Hawk with 130lbs at $2.80. Going well enough to take this out. 1st Pick 12 Break The Taboo Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Jack Hill T: Shane Jackson	90	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently ran second last in a small field at Hamilton Bm56 on July 12 over 6f, in the wet, 10 len behind Port Louis with 154lbs at $1.85. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on May 21 over 7f, slow going 2.5 len behind Thunder Hawk with 130lbs at $2.80. Going well enough to take this out.
10	Second run back. First-up after six months 5th of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm56 on July 6 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Qubella with 130lbs at $10. Previously second-up 4th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on September 28 over 6f, 2 len behind Bakersbend with 131lbs at $7. Fitter and hard to hold out. 2nd Pick 10 Cosmic Charger Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Non Runner T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	148	-	-	-	8%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months 5th of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm56 on July 6 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Qubella with 130lbs at $10. Previously second-up 4th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on September 28 over 6f, 2 len behind Bakersbend with 131lbs at $7. Fitter and hard to hold out.
11	At the latest run 5th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 on July 8 over 6f, on rain affected going, 10 len behind Queen Peta carrying 130lbs at $13. The race before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw June 21 over 5 ½f defeating Apache Sunrise with 128lbs at $1.75. Has upside and should take beating. 3rd Pick 11 Call Me Maura Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Taige Weir J: Will Gordon T: Taige Weir	113	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 on July 8 over 6f, on rain affected going, 10 len behind Queen Peta carrying 130lbs at $13. The race before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw June 21 over 5 ½f defeating Apache Sunrise with 128lbs at $1.75. Has upside and should take beating.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.