AU - Swan Hill - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

18.8K

VIEW

Verdict

NATIONAL CODE (3) goes on top. She's knocking on the door with back-to-back runner-up finishes, good behind the unbeaten mare Tennessee Bound two back which is excellent form before flashing home at Bendigo. Finds the right race and can go one better. FIERCE DREAMS (4) settled well back then came home powerfully to score by one length over 6f at Ballarat Synthetic last time out, her 2nd win in her past 3 starts. Drawn wide here but can prove hard to hold out. SISTINE TUNNEL (8) returned from a spell at Ballarat Synthetic and did enough in fourth. She should improve onto turf with her best form last campaign reading well. BONFIRE JIMMY (6) ran well fresh at Ballarat Synthetic and should come on nicely from that, respecting from the pole draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Form hard to fault. Most recently took up a position near the tail 2nd of 12 at Bendigo F&M Bm62 on July 5 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Iced Poppy with 129lbs at $4.80. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on June 17 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Tennessee Bound with 122lbs at $17. Knocking on the door and should go close. 1st Pick 3 National Code Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Will Gordon T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	127	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently took up a position near the tail 2nd of 12 at Bendigo F&M Bm62 on July 5 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Iced Poppy with 129lbs at $4.80. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on June 17 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Tennessee Bound with 122lbs at $17. Knocking on the door and should go close.
4	Most recently won by 1.0 len at Ballarat Synthetic F&M Bm56 July 7 over 6f defeating Gisella carrying 137lbs at $7. The start before that 6th of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm62 on June 15 over 5f, 7 len behind Lake Forest with 127lbs at $21. Chance for the double. 2nd Pick 4 Fierce Dreams Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Non Runner T: Nick Ryan	163	-	-	-	14%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently won by 1.0 len at Ballarat Synthetic F&M Bm56 July 7 over 6f defeating Gisella carrying 137lbs at $7. The start before that 6th of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm62 on June 15 over 5f, 7 len behind Lake Forest with 127lbs at $21. Chance for the double.
8	Second run back. First-up after eight months 4th of 7 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm62 on June 26 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Boyd with 129lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm64 on July 28 over 5f, 0.7 len behind Dio with 125lbs at $7. Fitter and right in this. 3rd Pick 8 Sistine Tunnel Jockey: Tom Madden Trainer: Andrew Noblet J: Tom Madden T: Andrew Noblet	58	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after eight months 4th of 7 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm62 on June 26 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Boyd with 129lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm64 on July 28 over 5f, 0.7 len behind Dio with 125lbs at $7. Fitter and right in this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

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The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

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