AU - Swan Hill - Race 7

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough race. QUEEN OF CORDOBA (14) has been going well without winning, the latest a three-length sixth on a wet track over a mile at Murtoa. Worth noting the only time on firmer footing in her career was the win of her maiden. Suited here and gets a chance to find winning form. HABITUAL (12) is a progressive type who stepped up to a mile last time and raced right away with a five-length win. Has upside still and can go on with it. CALLISTEMON (8) wasn't far away in similar grade last time and best figures stack up. SURFY PETE (7) scored a strong on-speed win last time and can give a sight again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
14	Comes off a 32 day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 9 in a Bm56 at Murtoa on August 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Eishaa carrying 132lbs at $4.80. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 in a Bm66 at Bendigo on July 30 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Hawk Power carrying 121lbs at $15. Firmer track suits and sure to prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 14 Queen Of Cordoba Jockey: Ryan Hurdle Trainer: Michael Jones J: Ryan Hurdle T: Michael Jones	62	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Comes off a 32 day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 9 in a Bm56 at Murtoa on August 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Eishaa carrying 132lbs at $4.80. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 in a Bm66 at Bendigo on July 30 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Hawk Power carrying 121lbs at $15. Firmer track suits and sure to prove hard to beat.
10	Last start 2nd of 13 in a Bm56 at Moe on September 8 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Bonnaroo carrying 136lbs at $4.40. The start before that 7th of 12 in a Bm62 at Pakenham Synthetic on August 16 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Cashout with 130lbs at $4. Will take plenty of beating with any luck from the draw. 2nd Pick 10 Savannah Chill Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Non Runner T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	148	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 2nd of 13 in a Bm56 at Moe on September 8 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Bonnaroo carrying 136lbs at $4.40. The start before that 7th of 12 in a Bm62 at Pakenham Synthetic on August 16 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Cashout with 130lbs at $4. Will take plenty of beating with any luck from the draw.
12	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 7th of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 7 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Misty Whisper carrying 131lbs at $21. Last start favourite, won by 5 len in a Mdn-Sw at Warracknabeal on August 29 over 1m defeating Koyuga Rip carrying 131lbs at $2.35. Far too good to win maiden latest and is worth following up. 3rd Pick 12 Habitual Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: M Lawson J: Neil Farley T: M Lawson	82	-	-	-	58%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 7th of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 7 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Misty Whisper carrying 131lbs at $21. Last start favourite, won by 5 len in a Mdn-Sw at Warracknabeal on August 29 over 1m defeating Koyuga Rip carrying 131lbs at $2.35. Far too good to win maiden latest and is worth following up.

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