AU - Swan Hill - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.9K

VIEW

Verdict

The Hayes barn has three hopes in the race, including QUARTER MILE (5), who returns for second campaign. Did plenty wrong first start the showed speed and was swamped late. Fitter for two trials and expected to take catching. DO THE DIRTY (3) ran a better race last start at his second trip to the races, finishing fourth over 5f at Mornington. Open to further improvement. SILENT DEVOTION (10) finished second last start over 6f at Warrnambool, beaten 3 lengths. Placed 3/3 so far and deserves a win. Blinkers added and looks close to break through. STRONG TEMPO (6) is by the sire Fierce Impact and from the stakes-winning mare Aspect Ratio. Ran sixth at recent trial. Has had plenty of education and worth watching for a move.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Having third race start. At debut, ran second last of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Casterton on August 30 over 5f, slow going 11 len behind Money Honey carrying 119lbs at $8. Last start sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Hamilton on September 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind High Falls carrying 128lbs at $15. Coming along nicely and with the blinkers added can break though this time. 1st Pick 4 Magnum Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Non Runner T: Lindsey Smith	145	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Having third race start. At debut, ran second last of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Casterton on August 30 over 5f, slow going 11 len behind Money Honey carrying 119lbs at $8. Last start sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Hamilton on September 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind High Falls carrying 128lbs at $15. Coming along nicely and with the blinkers added can break though this time.
5	Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when sat on the speed and boxed on steadily ran second last of 7 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on March 10 over 6f, 7 len behind Harry Met Sally carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Fitter for two trials and will give a sight off the low draw. 2nd Pick 5 Quarter Mile Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Will Gordon T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	60	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when sat on the speed and boxed on steadily ran second last of 7 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on March 10 over 6f, 7 len behind Harry Met Sally carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Fitter for two trials and will give a sight off the low draw.
3	Raced two times to date. At big odds at debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 7 over 5 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Vella Longa carrying 128lbs at $26. Second-up 4th of 10 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Mornington on September 4 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind Come Together with 128lbs at $31. Has upside and looks well placed to feature. 3rd Pick 3 Do The Dirty Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Billy Egan T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	97	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Raced two times to date. At big odds at debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 7 over 5 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Vella Longa carrying 128lbs at $26. Second-up 4th of 10 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Mornington on September 4 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind Come Together with 128lbs at $31. Has upside and looks well placed to feature.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

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