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Resulted

AU - Swan Hill at Murtoa - Race 6

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
10.2f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
14.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MOTIVER (10) was in the money two starts back at Geelong but couldn't back it up last time when sixth over 1 ¹5/16m at Warrnambool. Forget that and go off the Geelong performance, which is good enough to test these. Blinkers on could be significant. WIMMERA STAR (4) has been in the mix since scoring at Horsham on April 27, the latest offering a second over 1 ¼m at Mt Gambier. Unplaced at his only previous try at the trip but another big run is likely in this company. FONN POWER (3) was well fancied last start over 1 ¼m at Mildura when second, beaten 3.5 lengths. Strong winning chance. THREE REEL ROSES (12) improved sharply last time out to score by half a length over 1 ½m at Moe a month ago. Solid top-three prospects.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Motiver silk

Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently ran second last of 7 in a Bm70 at Warrnambool on July 23 over 1 ¹5/16m, in the wet, 51 len behind Reddivo with 119lbs at $4.40. The start before that 3rd of 11 in a Bm56 at Geelong on July 10 over 1 ½m, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Kazungula with 132lbs at $8. Blinkers go on and sure to prove hard to beat.

1st Pick
10

Motiver

Jockey: Dean Yendall

Trainer: Mitchell Freedman

J: Dean Yendall

T: Mitchell Freedman

158---20%

Analysis

Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently ran second last of 7 in a Bm70 at Warrnambool on July 23 over 1 ¹5/16m, in the wet, 51 len behind Reddivo with 119lbs at $4.40. The start before that 3rd of 11 in a Bm56 at Geelong on July 10 over 1 ½m, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Kazungula with 132lbs at $8. Blinkers go on and sure to prove hard to beat.

4
Wimmera Star silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 in a Bm58 at Mt Gambier on August 7 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 0.6 len behind Pianta carrying 133lbs at $4.60. Before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 14 in a Bm56 at Murray Bridge on July 17 over 1m, slow going 1.4 len behind Petit Eagle with 129lbs at $12. Working up to a win. Hard to beat on the back of that sort of form.

2nd Pick
4

Wimmera Star

Jockey: Campbell Rawiller

Trainer: Paul Preusker

J: Campbell Rawiller

T: Paul Preusker

116---15%

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 in a Bm58 at Mt Gambier on August 7 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 0.6 len behind Pianta carrying 133lbs at $4.60. Before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 14 in a Bm56 at Murray Bridge on July 17 over 1m, slow going 1.4 len behind Petit Eagle with 129lbs at $12. Working up to a win. Hard to beat on the back of that sort of form.

7
Verifier silk

Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 11 in a Bm62 at this track on July 28 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Nottolook with 127lbs at $3.50. The run before that 3rd of 10 in a Bm56 at Donald on July 11 over 1m, slow going 0.9 len behind Adjudicate carrying 132lbs at $2.50. Lacks winning know-how but often fighting out the finish.

3rd Pick
7

Verifier

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Nigel Blackiston

J: Non Runner

T: Nigel Blackiston

91---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 11 in a Bm62 at this track on July 28 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Nottolook with 127lbs at $3.50. The run before that 3rd of 10 in a Bm56 at Donald on July 11 over 1m, slow going 0.9 len behind Adjudicate carrying 132lbs at $2.50. Lacks winning know-how but often fighting out the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.