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6:30 AM

AU - Sale - Race 8

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
24.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TEST OF LOVE (2) is an interesting galloper over from Hong Kong. He's off nearly a year long spell here which is the knock having not really fired in three runs for the Lui stable. Prior to that however he'd shown some ability for the Prescott yard in the UK and his recent jumpouts for the Hayes yard have been good. Market the best guide but he could run well in what looks a winnable race. LETHAL THOUGHTS (1) is closing in on another win, trying hard at Geelong in a BM66 last time out. Back in grade again here, he maps for every hope. COULDTHISBETHEONE (4) resumes. He went to the paddock a solid maiden winner at Bendigo and is open to further improvement this time around. SUNSET BEAUTY (8) is knocking on the door with back-to-back runner-up efforts and has claims again. BLISTERING (3) next best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Test Of Love silk

Is first-up after a break of 11 months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign eighth of 12 at Happy Valley Rating 80 March 19 over 1 m, 6 len behind M Unicorn carrying 121lbs at $47. When resuming last campaign ninth of 14 at Sha Tin Rating 80 January 12 2025 over 1m, 4 len behind Embraces carrying 122lbs at $38. Didn't fire in Hong Kong but looks to be going well and has the ability to win this.

1st Pick
2

Test Of Love

Jockey: Jackson Radley

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Jackson Radley

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

62---31%9/4

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of 11 months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign eighth of 12 at Happy Valley Rating 80 March 19 over 1 m, 6 len behind M Unicorn carrying 121lbs at $47. When resuming last campaign ninth of 14 at Sha Tin Rating 80 January 12 2025 over 1m, 4 len behind Embraces carrying 122lbs at $38. Didn't fire in Hong Kong but looks to be going well and has the ability to win this.

1
Lethal Thoughts silk

Racing well recently. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Geelong Bm66 on January 26 over 7 ¾f, 2.25 len behind All Business with 128lbs at $15. The start before that 4th of 13 at Geelong Bm62 on January 14 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind Lario carrying 136lbs at $13. Can break through here from a good gate.

2nd Pick
1

Lethal Thoughts

Jockey: Zoe Waller

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Zoe Waller

T: Ciaron Maher

193---20%4/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Geelong Bm66 on January 26 over 7 ¾f, 2.25 len behind All Business with 128lbs at $15. The start before that 4th of 13 at Geelong Bm62 on January 14 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind Lario carrying 136lbs at $13. Can break through here from a good gate.

4
Couldthisbetheone silk

Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Not seen since winning by long-neck Bendigo Mdn-Sw October 5 over 7 ½f defeating Lufitaah carrying 126lbs at $4.60. On debut fourth of 13 at Echuca Mdn-Sw August 10 over 6f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Gold Medallist carrying 126lbs at $5. Can run a strong race fresh.

3rd Pick
4

Couldthisbetheone

Jockey: Jake Noonan

Trainer: Matt Laurie

J: Jake Noonan

T: Matt Laurie

96---15%6/1

Analysis

Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Not seen since winning by long-neck Bendigo Mdn-Sw October 5 over 7 ½f defeating Lufitaah carrying 126lbs at $4.60. On debut fourth of 13 at Echuca Mdn-Sw August 10 over 6f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Gold Medallist carrying 126lbs at $5. Can run a strong race fresh.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.