AU - Sale - Race 4

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

28.1K

VIEW

Verdict

ALIANO (1) is a progressive galloper whose ready to win third-up off placings at Pakenham and Sandown-Hillside. He just missed prior at Lakeside on debut ($3.0F) and finds an easier assignment. He can use the inside barrier, and rates clear. WRENLEE (10) went well in his brief maiden campaign and had excuses at Werribee first-up when expected to win. He draws inside today with a 3lbs claimer aboard and will have taken fitness and learning. Wary of OSTROM (13), who debuts for a top meter barn and she's been well educated. Won her latest jumpout at Pakenham and draws handy with a promising 7lbs claimer aboard. A bold run is on the cards. I SAID SO (5) resumed in town and needed the outing. The Pakenham form from his initial preparation stacks up, and stripping fitter will he be around the mark. COLD LOGIC (8) didn't have much luck at Mornington on debut and may be the next best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today. First-up came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5f, slow going 0.8 len behind Ruby Avenue carrying 131lbs at $2.50. Second run from a spell raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw on December 10 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Olivia Rose with 131lbs at $4.20. Rates to be winning. 1st Pick 1 Aliano Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Jye Mcneil T: Robbie Griffiths	170	-	-	-	90%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5f, slow going 0.8 len behind Ruby Avenue carrying 131lbs at $2.50. Second run from a spell raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw on December 10 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Olivia Rose with 131lbs at $4.20. Rates to be winning.
10	Second run back. First-up after four months got back early 7th of 12 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on December 7 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Tennessee Song with 128lbs at $4. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw on August 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Humble Trader with 128lbs at $7.50. Fitter and looks set to improve sharply. 2nd Pick 10 Wrenlee Jockey: Sheridan Clarke Trainer: John Moloney J: Sheridan Clarke T: John Moloney	135	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months got back early 7th of 12 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on December 7 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Tennessee Song with 128lbs at $4. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw on August 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Humble Trader with 128lbs at $7.50. Fitter and looks set to improve sharply.
13	Three-year-old filly (Capitalist - Siwa Lady). Ben, Will & Jd Hayes has her primed for this with seven recent trials prior to her debut today. Won her most recent trial at Pakenham over 4f on December 9. In a top juvenial stable and a bold run is on the cards. 3rd Pick 13 Ostrom Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jackson Radley T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	55	-	-	-	16%	Scratched
Analysis Three-year-old filly (Capitalist - Siwa Lady). Ben, Will & Jd Hayes has her primed for this with seven recent trials prior to her debut today. Won her most recent trial at Pakenham over 4f on December 9. In a top juvenial stable and a bold run is on the cards.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.