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8:45 AM

AU - Pakenham - Race 6

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
27.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BELCONY (6) was strong in front and did enough to hold them off and score by a lip here two weeks ago. Is sure to have taken improvement from that and can make it two on the bounce. FIRST CHORUS (1) resumes over what may be short of her preferred trip, but she's a proven winner and has jumped out sharply in readiness. Is drawn to advantage and gets an important claim. Will be right there when they quicken. HERE THE CROWD (4) could not quite live up to market expectations last start at Caulfield Heath but can get things back on track third-up. Freshened 36 days and reunites with Benny Allen. Can give this a shake. GELLHORN (3) is another returning and will be looking to replicate her first-up effort last campaign when beating Watersports by a head. That form measures up well for this, and a jump-out in readiness should have her forward enough. Do not take lightly. Sectionals suggest HEAVENLY KISS (5) has been crying out for this sort of trip. Keep an eye on her late.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Belcony silk

Second run back. First-up after five months won by a nose at this track F&M Bm62 March 12 over 7f defeating Simply Outrageous with 131lbs at $14. Previously second-up ran last of 7 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 on April 9 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Sirena carrying 130lbs at $10. Likely to come on from that run and can make it two on the trot.

1st Pick
6

Belcony

Jockey: Jake Noonan

Trainer: Reece Goodwin

J: Jake Noonan

T: Reece Goodwin

213---17%5/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months won by a nose at this track F&M Bm62 March 12 over 7f defeating Simply Outrageous with 131lbs at $14. Previously second-up ran last of 7 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 on April 9 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Sirena carrying 130lbs at $10. Likely to come on from that run and can make it two on the trot.

1
First Chorus silk

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation winning by 1.5 len Flemington F&M Bm70 November 6 over 1 ยน/16m defeating Full Hao with 128lbs at $4.80. On debut seventh of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw June 20 over 6f, soft track, 8 len behind Electric Elvis with 127lbs at $51. Capable of a bold return off some nice jump-outs.

2nd Pick
1

First Chorus

Jockey: Emily Pozman

Trainer: Lindsey Smith

J: Emily Pozman

T: Lindsey Smith

177---48%11/10

Analysis

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation winning by 1.5 len Flemington F&M Bm70 November 6 over 1 ยน/16m defeating Full Hao with 128lbs at $4.80. On debut seventh of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw June 20 over 6f, soft track, 8 len behind Electric Elvis with 127lbs at $51. Capable of a bold return off some nice jump-outs.

4
Here The Crowd silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Comes off a 36 day let-up. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at this track Bm62 on January 29 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Insain Harry carrying 128lbs at $9. Last start 5th of 9 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on February 18 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Cameron Falls carrying 126lbs at $2.50. Building nicely and rates a key chance.

3rd Pick
4

Here The Crowd

Jockey: Ben Allen

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Ben Allen

T: Ciaron Maher

146---25%3/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Comes off a 36 day let-up. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at this track Bm62 on January 29 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Insain Harry carrying 128lbs at $9. Last start 5th of 9 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on February 18 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Cameron Falls carrying 126lbs at $2.50. Building nicely and rates a key chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.