AU - Pakenham - Race 5

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

22.9K

VIEW

Verdict

THE TROUBLESHOOTER (6) has been tackling stronger races of late, third in a strong race at Flemington first up before an even effort there last time. Back in grade now and rates highly, go close. NAFSIKA (10) is a nicely bred three-year-old filly on debut by Toronado for the Clinton McDonald yard. She's jumped out well and the stable warrant respect. HOPEFUL CHAMPION (9) is a first-starter for the Jerome Hunter yard by Banquo from Wannabe who has been a prolific producer including winners at black type level. Respecting off a jumpout win. SEATICFLASH (5) is a mare by Hanseatic out of The Grey Flash making her first appearance for the Begg yard who are always dangerous. Keep safe. Chances don't end there.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 in a 2yo Hcp at Flemington on July 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Riverina Lulu carrying 121lbs at $31. Last start 8th of 10 in a 3yo Hcp at Flemington on August 1 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Almontego carrying 123lbs at $9. Racing well. Should roll forward and finds a far more suitable race. 1st Pick 6 The Troubleshooter Jockey: Luke Nolen Trainer: John Sadler J: Luke Nolen T: John Sadler	174	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 in a 2yo Hcp at Flemington on July 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Riverina Lulu carrying 121lbs at $31. Last start 8th of 10 in a 3yo Hcp at Flemington on August 1 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Almontego carrying 123lbs at $9. Racing well. Should roll forward and finds a far more suitable race.
10	Three-year-old filly making debut by Toronado out of Moldova. Was runner-up in a jump-out at Cranbourne on August 17. Looks handy and should go well. 2nd Pick 10 Nafsika Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald J: Ben Melham T: Clinton Mcdonald	102	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Three-year-old filly making debut by Toronado out of Moldova. Was runner-up in a jump-out at Cranbourne on August 17. Looks handy and should go well.
9	Three-year-old filly making debut by Banquo out of Wannabe. Won a jump-out at Pakenham Synthetic on August 11. Respecting off the good trial. 3rd Pick 9 Hopeful Champion Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Jerome Hunter J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Jerome Hunter	76	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Three-year-old filly making debut by Banquo out of Wannabe. Won a jump-out at Pakenham Synthetic on August 11. Respecting off the good trial.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.