AU - Pakenham - Race 5

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

28.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Looks a great race for A DIVA (1), who has been thereabouts in stronger races, most recently when 2 lengths fourth over 1m at Mornington. Peak fitness now and ready for the extra trip. LADY THINKABELL (6) progressed nicely last time out to finish just a head from the winner in second over 1 ?/16m at Morphettville. Will enjoy a drop in class so she is sure to be right there at the finish. CALLMEANICON (3) was unplaced two runs back when fresh from a spell then again missed the frame last start over 1m at this track, beaten 4.5 lengths into sixth. Fitter for those outings and this trip to no issue. JENNY THE BEAVER (7) will be better over even further than this, but might show up after a nice return. BIRDIE TIME (5) hasn't done much in two Australian runs, but they were probably just about building fitness and sharp improvement is expected up to this trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 8 at Mornington F&M Bm74 on April 18 over 1m, 2 len behind Seafall carrying 132lbs at $2.30. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 7 at Caulfield F&M Bm78 on April 4 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Terilee carrying 127lbs at $5.50. Not far away last time. Hard to beat on her best form. 1st Pick 1 A Diva Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Richard Laming J: Jackson Radley T: Richard Laming	188	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 8 at Mornington F&M Bm74 on April 18 over 1m, 2 len behind Seafall carrying 132lbs at $2.30. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 7 at Caulfield F&M Bm78 on April 4 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Terilee carrying 127lbs at $5.50. Not far away last time. Hard to beat on her best form.
6	At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Morphettville 0-66 on April 11 over 1/16m, on a slow track, head behind Alainge carrying 122lbs at $2.10. The race before that 5th of 9 at Ballarat Country Oaks on April 3 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Too Darn Discreet with 123lbs at $8.50. Going well and should be prominent again. 2nd Pick 6 Lady Thinkabell Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: J G Symons & S Laxon J: Non Runner T: J G Symons & S Laxon	195	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Morphettville 0-66 on April 11 over 1/16m, on a slow track, head behind Alainge carrying 122lbs at $2.10. The race before that 5th of 9 at Ballarat Country Oaks on April 3 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Too Darn Discreet with 123lbs at $8.50. Going well and should be prominent again.
3	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming got back early second last in a small field at this track Bm70 F&M on March 26 over 7f, in the wet, 9 len behind First Chorus carrying 127lbs at $31. Second-up 6th of 11 at this track Bm70 on April 23 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Factcheck carrying 128lbs at $31. Fitter now and ready to feature in the finish. 3rd Pick 3 Callmeanicon Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Bill Papazaharoudakis J: Teo Nugent T: Bill Papazaharoudakis	93	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming got back early second last in a small field at this track Bm70 F&M on March 26 over 7f, in the wet, 9 len behind First Chorus carrying 127lbs at $31. Second-up 6th of 11 at this track Bm70 on April 23 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Factcheck carrying 128lbs at $31. Fitter now and ready to feature in the finish.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.