AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

17.6K

VIEW

Verdict

DURNESS (9) may be worth another chance having been heavily supported on debut at Geelong to start $2.30 favourite, not really firing there when finishing near the tail. Up in trip now and gets blinkers on, expecting she's a sharp improver for a top barn. TEAM HEIST (11) is going well without quite breaking through, coming back from 1 ¼m to 7 ½f last start at Mornington and sticking on solidly for third. Maps for a nice run here and should take some beating. TASTE OF WINE (10) has been around the mark in four runs to date, perhaps not seeing out the 1 ¼m at Moe last time. The form prior has her firmly in the mix. DESERT ROSE (8) ran a much improved race over this route second up and any further improvement has her as one of the hardest to beat. BROTHER QUICKIE (2) is the full brother to multiple G1 winner Mr Quickie who did enough fresh off a long spell and should be improved.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Was well-supported at debut, second last of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 23 over 7 ¼f, 4 len behind Shimonoseki carrying 127lbs at $2.30. Can improve rapidly. 1st Pick 9 Durness Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Thomas Stockdale T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	108	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, second last of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 23 over 7 ¼f, 4 len behind Shimonoseki carrying 127lbs at $2.30. Can improve rapidly.
11	Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on May 26 over 7 ½f, 1.2 len behind Dual Award with 127lbs at $7.50. Before that 5th of 10 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Here Comes Ruby with 126lbs at $6. Looks tough to stop again. 2nd Pick 11 Team Heist Jockey: Zac Spain Trainer: John Mcardle J: Zac Spain T: John Mcardle	201	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on May 26 over 7 ½f, 1.2 len behind Dual Award with 127lbs at $7.50. Before that 5th of 10 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Here Comes Ruby with 126lbs at $6. Looks tough to stop again.
10	Most recently 6th of 11 at Moe Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 1 ¼m, slow going 7 len behind Knuckle with 127lbs at $3.70. The run before that 4th of 12 at Moe Mdn-Sw on May 13 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Miss Tramell with 127lbs at $5. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 3rd Pick 10 Taste Of Wine Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Michael Kent J: Ben Allen T: Michael Kent	197	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Most recently 6th of 11 at Moe Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 1 ¼m, slow going 7 len behind Knuckle with 127lbs at $3.70. The run before that 4th of 12 at Moe Mdn-Sw on May 13 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Miss Tramell with 127lbs at $5. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.