AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

32.1K

VIEW

Verdict

ROYAL HONOUR (3) was beaten at $1.30 on resumption but bumped into a handy one there, still putting good margins on the rest of the field. Happy to give him another chance second up and drawn to sit on speed in what looks a fairly thin race. BEAU STRADA (4) just found one better at Cranbourne last time out in a good effort and only needs to hold that form to be figuring prominently again. DOUBT IT'S LOVE (5) wasn't far away on wet ground here last time in an improved effort. She's a big price for exotics. MACCA'S ANGEL (8) resumes for her second campaign having been okay in three runs last time in. She wouldn't surprise. KELLERSLEA (7) is a filly by North Pacific on debut for the Hayes yard who can run well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 8 at Sale Mdn-Sw on March 29 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Alleviate carrying 130lbs at $1.30. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on November 12 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Espana with 128lbs at $2.70. Form reads well and he's well placed to go one better now. 1st Pick 3 Royal Honour Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Jamie Mott T: Robbie Griffiths	196	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 8 at Sale Mdn-Sw on March 29 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Alleviate carrying 130lbs at $1.30. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on November 12 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Espana with 128lbs at $2.70. Form reads well and he's well placed to go one better now.
4	At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind White Hot Mama carrying 126lbs at $7. Before that ran last in a small field at Yarra Valley 3yo F Mdn-Sw on March 24 over 6f, slow going 13 len behind Our Yonglee carrying 126lbs at $7. Making headway. Hard to beat on that latest effort. 2nd Pick 4 Beau Strada Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Luke Oliver J: Billy Egan T: Luke Oliver	148	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind White Hot Mama carrying 126lbs at $7. Before that ran last in a small field at Yarra Valley 3yo F Mdn-Sw on March 24 over 6f, slow going 13 len behind Our Yonglee carrying 126lbs at $7. Making headway. Hard to beat on that latest effort.
5	Raced two times to date. At long odds at debut, 6th of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 12 over 5f, 6 len behind Bel Lupa carrying 123lbs at $31. Second-up 4th of 8 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on March 26 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind Tillya Tepe with 127lbs at $10. Can improve again and figure in the finish. 3rd Pick 5 Doubt It's Love Jockey: Zac Spain Trainer: Logan Mcgill J: Zac Spain T: Logan Mcgill	96	-	-	-	3%	33/1
Analysis Raced two times to date. At long odds at debut, 6th of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 12 over 5f, 6 len behind Bel Lupa carrying 123lbs at $31. Second-up 4th of 8 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on March 26 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind Tillya Tepe with 127lbs at $10. Can improve again and figure in the finish.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.