AU - Pakenham - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

31.8K

VIEW

Verdict

SWEET VIXEN (11) looked sharp at the jumpouts before her narrow defeat at Sale on debut. Raced forward and she's the one to beat with the extra fitness. LIFE AFTER LOVE (9) brought promising metro form to resumption and was beaten 1L at Sandown-Lakeside after leading them up. Followed 36 days later with a disappointing run of the Hillside, and she's been kept up to the mark with a jumpout. She maps for a soft run and Ben Allen rides first time. A bounce is likely. CIRCUS CIRCUS (3) resumes off two promising efforts. Kicks off in a shorter sprint this time with two jumpouts under the saddle. Has a low gate and will be naturally improved. Jordan Childs gets off the above to stick with resuming stablemate GATTINO VELOCE (5). She didn't show much on debut but will have come on and jumps from the inside barrier. Worth a betting watch.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	At debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 11 over 5f, slow going 0.5 len behind Sea Trader with 123lbs at $9. Improvement to come and looks hard to beat. 1st Pick 11 Sweet Vixen Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Cindy Alderson J: Logan Bates T: Cindy Alderson	197	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis At debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 11 over 5f, slow going 0.5 len behind Sea Trader with 123lbs at $9. Improvement to come and looks hard to beat.
9	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resumes off a 36 day letup. First-up 4th of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 8 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Per Favore with 125lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 28 over 5f, 8 len behind Trapper John carrying 123lbs at $7.50. Rates highly. Rates highly and is sure to run well. 2nd Pick 9 Life After Love Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ben Allen T: Ciaron Maher	142	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resumes off a 36 day letup. First-up 4th of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 8 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Per Favore with 125lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 28 over 5f, 8 len behind Trapper John carrying 123lbs at $7.50. Rates highly. Rates highly and is sure to run well.
3	Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation fourth of 11 at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw September 25 over 7 ¼f, 2 len behind Polish Playgirl carrying 126lbs at $3.30. On debut fourth of 10 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw September 7 over 6 ½f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Romantic Encounter with 123lbs at $3.50. Has claims if presented on song. 3rd Pick 3 Circus Circus Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Grahame Begg	93	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation fourth of 11 at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw September 25 over 7 ¼f, 2 len behind Polish Playgirl carrying 126lbs at $3.30. On debut fourth of 10 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw September 7 over 6 ½f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Romantic Encounter with 123lbs at $3.50. Has claims if presented on song.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.