AU - Pakenham - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

29.4K

VIEW

Verdict

FORCEOFONE (6) on top. He ran a good race first up at Sale in what was a strongly run affair, battling away well for third having started firmly in the market in a G3 race on debut before the spell. He's bred to get a trip so rising to 7f second up looks perfect. RATHLIN EXPRESS (7) comes through the same race at Sale, finishing fourth on that occasion when not far behind Forceofone. Tricky draw here but he can roll forward and give a sight. JUSTIBELLA (9) was disappointing at her second start staying at 6f at Ballarat last time but had shown promise on debut and rising in trip should suit. MOONBOLT (5) just missed fresh at Warrnambool in an encouraging effort. Bit more depth here but 7f looks ideal. BACK FOR MORE (1) could be an improver in his second campaign.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third race start. First start raced on the pace before fading to run last of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside in the G3 Chairman's Stk on February 1 over 5f, 7 len behind Inkaruna carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Went for a break before returning 3rd of 8 at Sale Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Whiskey Joe carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Rates highly, should take beating. 1st Pick 6 Forceofone Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jamie Mott T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	138	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Third race start. First start raced on the pace before fading to run last of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside in the G3 Chairman's Stk on February 1 over 5f, 7 len behind Inkaruna carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Went for a break before returning 3rd of 8 at Sale Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Whiskey Joe carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Rates highly, should take beating.
7	Third race start. First start raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Sale 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 12 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind The Volta carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Went for a break before returning 4th of 8 at Sale Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Whiskey Joe with 126lbs at $5.50. Has upside and is worth keeping safe. 2nd Pick 7 Rathlin Express Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Thomas Stockdale T: Phillip Stokes	123	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third race start. First start raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Sale 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 12 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind The Volta carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Went for a break before returning 4th of 8 at Sale Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Whiskey Joe with 126lbs at $5.50. Has upside and is worth keeping safe.
9	Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, 3rd of 7 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on October 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Ornithology carrying 121lbs at $2.60. Second-up 5th of 8 at Ballarat 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 6f, slow going 10 len behind Chergui with 123lbs at $8. Can bounce back. 3rd Pick 9 Justibella Jockey: Celine Gaudray Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Celine Gaudray T: Ciaron Maher	130	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, 3rd of 7 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on October 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Ornithology carrying 121lbs at $2.60. Second-up 5th of 8 at Ballarat 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 6f, slow going 10 len behind Chergui with 123lbs at $8. Can bounce back.

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