AU - Pakenham - Race 3

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

30.9K

VIEW

Verdict

KOKESHI (9) sets the standard after resuming with a strong second at Ballarat, beaten just under a length by Southern Sway, and she has already placed at this track. She looks well placed to go one better if she improves as expected from a good gate. IFTIHAR (8) is the clear danger, coming through a Mornington fourth in stronger metro company after a narrow Kyneton placing. Peak fitness and maps well on speed, go close. CALEXPO (13) resumes with two Flemington trials behind him and is entitled to improve sharply on a heavy-track Geelong debut where he was well found but beaten just under nine lengths. Watch for a push. HEAVY IS THE HEAD (6) is another genuine chance after closing strongly for second at Sale, with a slight check in running adding merit. Tough draw but will be running on late. SLUGGER (3) was sound on debut over this route and can improve.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Resumed with a strong Ballarat second over 5f, beaten just under a length by Southern Sway after finishing off with purpose. She now rises from country grade to a harder meeting, but she has placed at this track and rates highly on her last 12 months of form. With that fresh run behind her and a favourable barrier, she brings the clearest winning case. 1st Pick 9 Kokeshi Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: John Moloney J: Jye Mcneil T: John Moloney	150	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Resumed with a strong Ballarat second over 5f, beaten just under a length by Southern Sway after finishing off with purpose. She now rises from country grade to a harder meeting, but she has placed at this track and rates highly on her last 12 months of form. With that fresh run behind her and a favourable barrier, she brings the clearest winning case.
8	Comes through stronger metro company after finishing fourth at Mornington, beaten just over four lengths by Regal Harry when only fair late after looming. Her previous Kyneton third was much stronger, beaten a neck by Blue Dream on soft ground, and she has placed two times from three starts at this distance. Third-up and drawn low, she has the right profile to break through. 2nd Pick 8 Iftihar Jockey: Caitlin Hollowood Trainer: Julius Sandhu J: Caitlin Hollowood T: Julius Sandhu	122	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Comes through stronger metro company after finishing fourth at Mornington, beaten just over four lengths by Regal Harry when only fair late after looming. Her previous Kyneton third was much stronger, beaten a neck by Blue Dream on soft ground, and she has placed two times from three starts at this distance. Third-up and drawn low, she has the right profile to break through.
13	Returns from a five-month break after being beaten just under nine lengths on debut at Geelong, where he was near the top of betting but raced on heavy ground, covered ground and was eased down late. He has since had two trials, the latest a Flemington third, and the £270,000 yearling purchase comes from the Hayes stable. Clear scope to improve sharply fresh. 3rd Pick 13 Calexpo Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Brad Rawiller T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	93	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Returns from a five-month break after being beaten just under nine lengths on debut at Geelong, where he was near the top of betting but raced on heavy ground, covered ground and was eased down late. He has since had two trials, the latest a Flemington third, and the £270,000 yearling purchase comes from the Hayes stable. Clear scope to improve sharply fresh.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

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A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).